Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs UConn Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY
Game Overview
The Buffalo Bulls host the UConn Huskies in a 2025 NCAA football non-conference match on September 27th. Both teams enter with identical 2-2 records, with Buffalo holding a 1-0 conference record in the MAC and UConn 0-0 as an independent. The game is poised as a competitive battle with Buffalo as a slight underdog based on current odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have performed evenly to start the season at 2-2. Buffalo holds a slight edge in conference play but has struggled offensively, evidenced by a recent narrow loss to Troy (21-17). UConn has a moderate winning streak (W1) and shows resilience despite lacking conference games to gauge strength. Recent form suggests a balanced matchup with slight situational advantages for Buffalo at home.
- Limited recent direct matchups with no dominant trend established. Both teams have competitive histories but results have varied, suggesting this game could swing either way based on execution and situational factors.
- No publicly available detailed updates on significant injuries affecting either Buffalo or UConn as of two days prior to the game, indicating both teams are likely near full strength.
- Home field advantage for Buffalo at UB Stadium is relevant. Weather or other conditions have not been explicitly reported as impacting factors. Game broadcasted on ESPN+, providing exposure and potential pressure for both teams.
- Buffalo aims to solidify its non-conference record and build momentum in the MAC, while UConn looks to leverage its independent schedule to achieve a signature win on the road. Both teams motivated to reach a winning record, making this an intense contest.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Bulls: 136, UConn Huskies: -162 | UConn Huskies moneyline win | โ โ โ โโ 63% |
| Spread | Buffalo Bulls: 3.5 -115, UConn Huskies: -3.5 -105 | UConn Huskies to cover -3.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -105 | Under 48.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn Huskies 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 48.5 7% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn Huskies are predicted to win narrowly due to favored moneyline odds and recent form. The spread suggests a close game with UConn favored by 3.5 points.
Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 24 – Buffalo Bulls 20