Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 10:41 PM UTC
- Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers continue a strong season with a record of 77-44, seeking a 14th consecutive win in this road game against the Cincinnati Reds (64-59). The Reds recently lost a high-scoring game but benefit from home-field and a slight underdog status. Brewers starter Quinn Priester (11-2, 3.49 ERA) faces a Reds lineup paced by hitters like Elly De La Cruz.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brewers have won 13 straight games, show strong pitching (3.63 ERA) and solid offense with a .260 team batting average. Reds have a competitive offense but have been outmatched in recent head-to-heads.
- Brewers are favored at -132 on the moneyline with historical advantage and recent form supporting their dominance over the Reds.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team currently.
- Game is at Great American Ball Park favoring offense; weather expected to be neutral; Brewers excel on the road.
- Milwaukee is highly motivated to extend their winning streak and maintain first place in the NL Central, while Cincinnati aims to rebound at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cincinnati Reds +112, Milwaukee Brewers -132 | Milwaukee Brewers | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Cincinnati Reds +1.5 -142, Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 +118 | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 9.5 -102, Under 9.5 -120 | Over 9.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win moneyline; Brewers to cover -1.5 run line; Over 9.5 total runs
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 6, Cincinnati Reds 4