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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 8:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies (70-52) are statistically stronger this season compared to the Washington Nationals (49-73). The Phillies hold a solid winning record including recent form with a slight edge in away performance, while the Nationals have struggled notably, especially in day games and at home. Both teams face probable starting pitchers Cade Cavalli (Nationals) and Taijuan Walker (Phillies), with Walker having more MLB experience and a lower ERA this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies maintain a 57% win rate with strong pitching and consistent offense, averaging 4.62 runs per game overall. Nationals have had difficulty, with a 40% win rate, a high pitching staff ERA (5.33), and weaker offense (.244 batting average).
  • Phillies lead the season series 5-3. Recent games show Phillies have won the majority including the last meeting with a 6-2 score.
  • No significant injuries affecting starting pitchers for either side; bullpen depth less favorable for Nationals.
  • Nationals' poor home record (23-37) and subpar day game performance (17-35) negatively impact expected outcome. Phillies have been solid in day games (24-22).
  • Phillies pushing to solidify playoff positioning, while Nationals out of contention, reducing motivation levels.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phillies -148, Nationals +126 Philadelphia Phillies ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Phillies -1.5 +105, Nationals +1.5 -126 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 9.5 -106, Under 9.5 -114 Over 9.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go over 9.5 total runs.

Predicted Score: Phillies 5 – Nationals 3


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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-16 Time: 8:06 PM UTC Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC Game Overview The Philadelphia Phillies (70-52) are statistically stronger this season compared to the Washington Nationals (49-73). The Phillies hold a solid winning record including recent form with a slight edge in away […]

August 16, 2025 Baseball Philadelphia Phillies Washington Nationals

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New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Citi Field, New York

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners (68-55) visit the New York Mets (64-58) in a pivotal MLB matchup. The Mets are struggling recently with 10 losses in their last 11 games and starter Nolan McLean making his MLB debut. The Mariners, led by solid starter Bryan Woo, seek to extend their strong recent form and edge the Mets again after winning the series opener.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mets have lost 10 of their last 11 games and show offensive potential but pitching uncertainty with rookie McLean starting. Mariners continue strong form, with Woo posting 8 quality starts in last 10 outings and overall solid pitching and hitting.
  • Recent head-to-head favors Mariners who won the previous game in this series 11-9. Mariners have shown resilience and ability to capitalize on Mets' recent pitching weaknesses.
  • No major injuries reported affecting starting lineups. Mets banking on rookie Nolan McLean with no MLB debut sample size, which adds uncertainty. Mariners have main players like Julio Rodriguez and JP Crawford active.
  • Game played at Citi Field which favors home team but Mets recent poor form dilutes home advantage. Mariners coming off hot streak with high confidence.
  • Mets motivated to rebound but pressured by poor recent results and rookie starter. Mariners motivated to continue winning streak and capitalize on Mets' struggles for playoff positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York Mets: +110, Seattle Mariners: -130 Seattle Mariners ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread New York Mets: +1.5 -156, Seattle Mariners: -1.5 130 Seattle Mariners -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8.5: -110, Under 8.5: -110 Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Mariners win moneyline

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 6 – New York Mets 4


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Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox host the Miami Marlins in an MLB regular season matchup, with both teams featuring uneven recent pitching performances. Boston holds a superior record and is favored on the moneyline and spread. Starting pitchers Brayan Bello (BOS) and Cal Quantrill (MIA) present contrasting ERAs, favoring Boston.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boston is 67-56 overall, showing solid form, while Miami is 58-64 and struggling. Boston's pitching staff has been more consistent (Bello 3.25 ERA) compared to Miami's Quantrill (5.09 ERA). Offensively, Miami has modest production but Boston’s lineup is more potent and playing at home.
  • Quantrill has a 1-1 record and 4.60 ERA vs. Boston, showing some vulnerability. Boston has historically performed well at Fenway against Miami, giving them a psychological edge.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact the starting pitcher matchup or lineup strength.
  • Playing at Fenway Park favored Boston. Weather conditions are typical summer baseball with no adverse impacts expected. The game time is early evening ET, standard conditions.
  • Boston is pushing for playoff contention, increasing their incentive to secure a home win. Miami is out of playoff contention, likely lowering their intensity and motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston -180, Miami +152 Boston Red Sox ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Boston -1.5 (+112), Miami +1.5 (-134) Boston Red Sox -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 9.5 (-104), Under 9.5 (-118) Under 9.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boston Red Sox -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the total to go under 9.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5, Miami Marlins 3


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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:08 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Texas Rangers in an MLB matchup where Toronto enters as the favorite with stronger current form and home-field advantage. The Blue Jays feature a superior recent win rate and a top-tier pitching matchup, while the Rangers have shown inconsistency and a slightly weaker pitching staff.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Blue Jays have a season record of 72-51 and have been consistent offensively and on the mound recently. The Rangers are at 61-62, struggling with consistency and have a 4.00 ERA starter compared to Toronto's 2.82 ERA pitcher.
  • Recent matchups favor the Blue Jays, with Toronto winning the last home meeting and holding a generally positive head-to-head record this season.
  • No major injuries reported that significantly affect starting lineups for either team, with both squads close to full strength.
  • The game is played indoors at Rogers Centre, eliminating weather as a factor. Both teams are accustomed to this venue.
  • Toronto is pushing for playoff positioning with motivation to maintain home dominance, while Texas is a below .500 team looking to improve but has less immediate playoff pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -152, Texas Rangers +128 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Blue Jays -1.5 +132, Rangers +1.5 -160 Blue Jays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5 -122, Under 8.5 +100 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays to win straight up

Predicted Score: Blue Jays 5 – Rangers 3


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Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 6:21 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs host the Pittsburgh Pirates in an MLB matchup where the Cubs, with a significantly better record and stronger season stats, appear favored to win given their home advantage and superior starting pitching.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cubs are 68-53 this season with a 3.85 ERA pitching staff and strong offensive stats (.251 BA, .320 OBP). The Pirates are 52-71 with a 4.04 ERA and weaker batting average (.232). Cubs have been inconsistent lately but maintain a second-place position in the NL Central.
  • Starting pitcher Shota Imanaga of the Cubs has dominated the Pirates in his two career starts with a 3.32 ERA and .201 opponent batting average. The Pirates’ starter Mike Burrows has struggled recently, allowing 10 runs in his last 9.2 innings and holds a 4.66 ERA this season.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters or core players ahead of the game.
  • Game played at Wrigley Field favors Cubs who excel in home conditions; no significant weather or external issues reported that could affect gameplay.
  • Cubs are motivated to reclaim form after a recent slump with four losses in five games, aiming to secure their playoff positioning. Pirates have less incentive given their losing record and upcoming weaker schedule.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cubs -220, Pirates +184 Chicago Cubs ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Cubs -1.5 (-111), Pirates +1.5 (-108) Chicago Cubs -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 9 (-115), Under 9 (-105) Under 9 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Cubs to win outright on the moneyline; Cubs to cover the -1.5 run line; total runs to go under 9.

Predicted Score: Cubs 5 – Pirates 2


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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Citi Field, Queens, New York

Game Overview

The New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves with the Mets favored at home. Both teams have shown offensive power, but Mets' pitching led by Kodai Senga is stronger compared to Braves starter Bryce Elder, who has struggled significantly this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mets hold a better record (64-56) compared to Braves (52-68). Mets have a better pitching staff ERA (3.75) and WHIP (1.31) than Braves (4.31 ERA, 1.30 WHIP). Mets' offense is led by Juan Soto (29 HR, 69 RBI) and Pete Alonso (28 HR, 98 RBI). Braves rely on Matt Olson (71 RBI) and Marcell Ozuna (20 HR).
  • Mets and Braves have split the first two games this series with high scoring outcomes. Mets led early in losses but have shown vulnerability in late innings.
  • No critical injuries reported affecting starting players or pitchers for either side.
  • Game played at Citi Field favors Mets who have strong home performance. Weather or other external conditions not reported as significant.
  • Mets are fighting to maintain their position in the NL East and have motivation to avoid further losing streaks, despite recent slump. Braves have less overall to play for given record but can exploit Mets’ recent pitching drop.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mets -196, Braves +164 New York Mets ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Mets -1.5 (+108), Braves +1.5 (-130) New York Mets -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8.5 (-115), Under 8.5 (-105) Over 8.5 runs ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Mets -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Mets to win moneyline, cover runline, with game total over 8.5 runs.

Predicted Score: New York Mets 6, Atlanta Braves 4


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Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 10:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio

Game Overview

The Cleveland Guardians host the Miami Marlins in the final game of a three-game series. Both teams are mid-table with playoff hopes, with Cleveland slightly favored at home. The Guardians have a marginally better recent form and offense, while the Marlins' pitching, led by Edward Cabrera, is solid but untested against Cleveland.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cleveland Guardians are 62-57 with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, showing strong home performance averaging over 3.5 runs per game. Miami Marlins stand at 58-62 with respectable batting stats but a higher team ERA (4.52) and WHIP (1.30), indicating pitching vulnerabilities.
  • Recent head-to-head is evenly matched with 6 wins each. Cleveland leads slightly at home with 3 wins vs. Miami's 4 road wins. Marlins won the last meeting decisively 13-4, but home advantage for Cleveland may offset this.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting lineup or starting pitching.
  • Game is at Cleveland's Progressive Field, favoring home team conditions. Weather and other external factors are normal with no impact forecasted.
  • Both teams seek to bolster playoff chances late in the season, but Cleveland’s slightly better recent form and home advantage increase their motivation to secure a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CLE -136, MIA +116 Cleveland Guardians ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread CLE -1.5 +155, MIA +1.5 -188 Miami Marlins +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 7.5 -118, Under 7.5 -104 Under 7.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run line, and for the total runs to go under 7.5.

Predicted Score: Cleveland Guardians 4 – Miami Marlins 3


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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 7:08 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Chicago Cubs in a pivotal late-season MLB matchup. Both teams are performing strongly with similar win totals (Blue Jays 70-51, Cubs 68-51), competing for top positions in their respective divisions and wild card standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blue Jays have a strong 39-20 home record, while Cubs are 32-29 on the road. Cubs have been inconsistent recently, losing 5 of their last 8 games. Cubs offense is led by Seiya Suzuki and Pete Crow-Armstrong with above-average power. Toronto’s offense is potent, anchored by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Pitching matchup favors Cubs' Matthew Boyd with better ERA (2.45) and peripherals compared to Blue Jays' Max Scherzer (4.21 ERA).
  • The series is even at 1-1 with Blue Jays taking Game 1 and Cubs Game 2. The prior two games have ended with scores of 5-1 and 4-1, suggesting relatively low-scoring affairs dominated by strong pitching.
  • No major injuries reported on either side that impact starters or key hitters for this game.
  • Game is played indoors at Rogers Centre, eliminating weather factors. The environment is hitter-friendly but both starting pitchers have shown effectiveness in this stadium in past outings.
  • Blue Jays are leading the AL East and motivated to maintain pace, Cubs are fighting for a wild card spot and striving to reduce gap behind NL Central leaders. Both teams have playoff aspirations impacting performance intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Cubs -110, Toronto Blue Jays -106 Chicago Cubs ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Chicago Cubs -1.5 +146, Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -178 Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 8.5 -102, Under 8.5 -120 Under 8.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Chicago Cubs win; Spread: Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 runs; Over/Under: Under 8.5 runs

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 4, Toronto Blue Jays 3


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Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 5:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners (67-54) visit the Baltimore Orioles (54-66) for the final game of their series after splitting the first two low-scoring contests. Mariners are slight favorites despite the series split, with both teams having struggled offensively at times this series. Starting pitchers are Logan Evans for Seattle and Tomoyuki Sugano for Baltimore, pitching in a ballpark favoring pitching performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seattle has been in strong form with eight wins in their last nine games and a solid pitching staff ERA of 3.78 and WHIP of 1.23. Baltimore has struggled overall but showed resilience with a walk-off win in the previous game, snapping Seattle's eight-game winning streak.
  • The teams are currently tied 1-1 in this series. Seattle has won 47 of 81 games when favored this season, while Baltimore has a weaker record as underdog and overall losing record.
  • No major injury reports for key starters Logan Evans and Tomoyuki Sugano. Both expected to pitch effectively.
  • The game is played at Camden Yards, a pitcher-friendly park which may suppress scoring totals. Weather conditions are stable with no impact forecasted.
  • Seattle is fighting for playoff positioning and comes in with strong recent momentum, while Baltimore is out of playoff contention but motivated after a recent emotional walk-off win at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles: +112, Seattle Mariners: -132 Seattle Mariners ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Baltimore Orioles +1.5: -140, Seattle Mariners -1.5: +116 Seattle Mariners -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%
Over/under Over 9.5: -122, Under 9.5: +100 Under 9.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Mariners moneyline

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4 – Baltimore Orioles 2


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Oakland Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Oakland Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 2:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, CA

Game Overview

The Oakland Athletics host the Tampa Bay Rays in a late-season MLB matchup where both teams are below .500, fighting for improved positioning. The Rays have a slight edge in recent pitching with Drew Rasmussen starting, while the Athletics have home advantage and are coming off a commanding win against the Rays.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay holds a 58-63 season record with a solid 2.66 ERA from Rasmussen, while Oakland sits at 54-68 with inconsistent form though recent home dominance versus the Rays (6-0 win).
  • In their recent meeting on August 13, 2025, Oakland beat Tampa Bay 6-0 at home, highlighting Oakland's ability to shut down Tampa's offense despite overall season struggles. Historically, Rays have more wins overall.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starting players or pitching staffs for either team.
  • Game is at Oakland Coliseum late in the season, quiet weather conditions expected, no unusual external disruptions.
  • Rays are seeking to improve their road performance and secure a rare series win over Oakland; Athletics look to capitalize on home edge and recent success to bolster their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oakland +118, Tampa Bay -130 Tampa Bay Rays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Oakland +1.5 -143, Tampa Bay -1.5 +123 Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 9.5 100, Under 9.5 -120 Over 9.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on the Tampa Bay Rays moneyline as favorites with confidence due to better pitching and more consistent offense recently, lean towards Rays covering the -1.5 spread, and expect the total runs to go over 9.5 given both teams' offensive potential and recent combined scoring.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 7 – Oakland Athletics 4


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