Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-26
- Time: 1:41 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Game Overview
The final game of a 3-game MLB series between the Seattle Mariners and the Colorado Rockies. Seattle is hosting Colorado at T-Mobile Park with Mariners' starter Woody (15-7, 2.94 ERA) against Rockies' starter Blalock (2-5, 9.16 ERA). The Mariners have been strong at home and have solid pitching stats compared to the Rockies, who have struggled with pitching consistency and a high ERA on their starter.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle Mariners have shown strong overall performance with key wins recently and boasting a solid 15-7 record by their starter Woo, who maintains a strong 2.94 ERA. Colorado Rockies have struggled offensively and especially with pitching; Blalock has a 9.16 ERA with 2 wins and 5 losses, indicating probable vulnerability on the mound.
- In the current 3-game series, Seattle Mariners have dominated, winning the first two games including recent shutout victories, leveraging strong pitching and home advantage.
- No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting lineup or pitching staff currently for this match.
- Game played at Mariners' home stadium, T-Mobile Park, providing Seattle with familiar conditions and home crowd support. Weather conditions not reported as impactful. The Mariners may also have lineup motivation as they approach postseason contention.
- Seattle is motivated to secure a series sweep and consolidate their playoff position, while Colorado aims to spoil the sweep but faces tough pitching challenges.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: +184, Seattle Mariners: -220 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies: +1.5 at -114, Seattle Mariners: -1.5 at -105 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 8: -110, Under 8: -110 | Under 8 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle Mariners -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners predicted to win decisively given stronger pitching, home advantage, and recent form. The probable final score favors the Mariners by a margin of at least 2 runs.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 5 – Colorado Rockies 2