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Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de San Mamés

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Sevilla in the opening week of the 2025/26 La Liga season. Athletic Bilbao is favored to win given home advantage, stronger squad stability, and recent statistical models projecting them as clear favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao maintained relative squad consistency over the off-season and have shown solid form recently. Sevilla, meanwhile, has a slow squad with limited new signings and tactical changes under new coach Almeyda, which may hinder their adaptability.
  • Historical H2H advantages lean toward Athletic Bilbao, especially when playing at home, where Sevilla has struggled to gain points.
  • No critical injuries reported for Athletic Bilbao. Sevilla’s lineup appears stable but lacks pace, potentially limiting offensive options.
  • The match is played at San Mamés, notoriously a difficult venue for visiting teams, giving Athletic Bilbao a significant edge. Early season motivation to start strongly impacts both sides.
  • Athletic Bilbao looks motivated to capitalize on home advantage and set a strong tone for the season, especially with players like Nico Williams expected to perform well. Sevilla aims to adjust tactically but faces an uphill battle early on.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -174, draw: 295, away: 475 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: -1 105, Sevilla: +1 -125 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★☆☆ 66%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 100 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win on the moneyline, cover the -1 spread, and the under 2.25 goals to hit.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla Prediction

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-17 Time: 5:30 PM UTC Location: Estadio de San Mamés Game Overview Athletic Bilbao hosts Sevilla in the opening week of the 2025/26 La Liga season. Athletic Bilbao is favored to win given home advantage, stronger squad stability, and recent statistical models projecting them […]

Athletic Bilbao August 17, 2025 Sevilla Soccer

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Espanyol vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Cornellà-El Prat Stadium

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid enters as a strong favorite against Espanyol, leveraging their superior defensive record and higher league standing from last season. Espanyol is defensively solid at home but struggles offensively, while Atlético Madrid is one of the best defensive teams away. Recent head-to-head matches have been low scoring, indicating a tight defensive battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol finished 14th with defensive solidity but weak offense; Atlético Madrid finished 3rd with strong defense and consistent results, especially away.
  • Last four matches between these teams mostly ended under 3 goals, with scores commonly tight and draws frequent.
  • No significant injury news impacting starting lineups for either side at present.
  • Match played at Espanyol's home ground with neutral weather, no notable external disruptions.
  • Atlético Madrid highly motivated to start the season strongly to challenge for the title; Espanyol motivated to secure points to avoid relegation pressure early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: 525, Draw: 280, Atlético Madrid: -172 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Espanyol +1: -125, Atlético Madrid -1: 105 Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Celta Vigo vs. Getafe Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Getafe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Balaídos Stadium, Vigo, Spain

Game Overview

Celta Vigo hosts Getafe in an early season La Liga fixture. Celta Vigo shows strong home form and recent winning momentum, while Getafe struggles to find consistency and has poor recent away results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Celta Vigo won 4 of their last 6 La Liga games, showing momentum and stability. Getafe lost 5 of their last 6, with only one win in their last 8 matches in all competitions.
  • In their last 14 home matches against Getafe, Celta Vigo remained unbeaten in 12, showing dominance at Balaídos. Recent H2H favors Celta with more wins and less goals conceded.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key players for either side as of matchday.
  • Home advantage at Balaídos favors Celta Vigo, with supportive fans and familiar conditions.
  • Celta Vigo motivated to capitalize on good form early in the season to climb the table, while Getafe needs points but faces confidence challenges from poor recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Celta Vigo: -136, Getafe: 450, Draw: 235 Celta Vigo ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Celta Vigo -0.75: -105, Getafe +75: -115 Celta Vigo -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2: -120, Under 2: 100 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celta Vigo to win on the moneyline, cover -0.75 spread, and the match to finish under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Alavés vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés hosts Levante in an opening La Liga clash where Alavés is slightly favored based on recent form and historical performance. Levante has struggled against Alavés historically and carries lower win probabilities according to available data.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés shows stronger recent form and home advantage with a higher expected win probability (~49.6%) versus Levante (~23.5%), while draws sit around 32%. Levante has been less consistent.
  • Alavés historically outperforms Levante, with previous meetings showing Alavés as favorites and stronger in direct confrontations.
  • No critical injury information available indicating major absences for either team, suggesting near full-strength squads.
  • No significant external disruptions such as travel fatigue or extreme weather reported for the match day.
  • Both teams start the season eager for points, but Alavés' home advantage and recent stability give them a motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 1.19, Levante: 2.65, Draw: 2.10 Alavés ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Alavés: -0.25 -115, Levante: +25 -105 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 2 – 1.05, Under: 2 – 1.25 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alavés at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alavés to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, and match finishing under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Valencia vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Valencia vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mestalla, Valencia, Spain

Game Overview

This La Liga opening fixture features Valencia hosting Real Sociedad at Mestalla. Both teams have struggled recently, positioned 19th and 17th respectively in the league, with closely matched recent form and goal-scoring records.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Valencia scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches with mixed results, including a 3-0 win and some draws and losses. Real Sociedad have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, showing slightly more attacking output.
  • Historically, Real Sociedad lead in H2H with 14 wins to Valencia's 9, with 7 draws out of 30+ meetings, indicating a slight advantage for Sociedad overall. Recent H2H show mostly under 2.5 goals scored.
  • No specific injury information available from sources, so no major absences reported ahead of kickoff.
  • Match played at Mestalla gives Valencia a home advantage. No other significant external factors such as weather or schedule congestion noted.
  • As the first match of the season, both teams are motivated to start strongly to avoid early relegation threats given their low league positions last season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Valencia 173, Draw 178, Real Sociedad 205 Real Sociedad ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Real Sociedad 0 105, Valencia 0 -125 Real Sociedad +0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.75 -122, Under 1.75 102 Under 1.75 goals ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Sociedad 53%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Sociedad at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Sociedad moneyline win

Predicted Score: Real Sociedad 1 – 0 Valencia


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Mallorca vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mallorca Home Stadium

Game Overview

Barcelona heads into this La Liga matchup as strong favorites due to dominant recent form and historically superior head-to-head results against Mallorca. Mallorca remains an underdog with long odds and less consistent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has won 16 of their last 18 La Liga matches and boasts 14 wins in their last 15 encounters with Mallorca across all competitions, indicating sustained dominance. Mallorca's recent form does not compare favorably.
  • Barcelona has a decisive edge historically, winning 14 of the last 15 matches versus Mallorca, suggesting tactical and squad quality superiority.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting Barcelona's lineup. Mallorca's injury situation is relatively stable, but given their underdog status, depth may be an issue.
  • Match at Mallorca's home venue may offer some slight home advantage, but Barcelona's superior quality likely outweighs this.
  • Barcelona is motivated to continue their strong start to the season and maintain momentum. Mallorca will aim to upset but faces a very challenging opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -199, Mallorca: 500, Draw: 355 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Barcelona: -1 -120, Mallorca: +1 100 Barcelona -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.75: -120, Under 2.75: 100 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona to win straight up with a handicap (-1) and a moderately high scoring game over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Villarreal vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Oviedo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica

Game Overview

Opening week La Liga clash between Villarreal, favorites with stronger squad and better recent form, against Oviedo, a newly promoted team with limited pre-season preparation and offensive struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has demonstrated superior quality and consistency, backed by a 65.2% win probability from advanced simulations. Oviedo has had a short pre-season and scored just three goals in four friendlies, indicating offensive shortcomings.
  • Limited recent encounters as Oviedo is newly promoted; historical advantage decisively on Villarreal side.
  • No major Villarreal injuries reported; Oviedo likely cautious as they seek offensive reinforcements before window closes.
  • Match played at Villarreal's home, Estadio de la Cerámica, enhances home advantage; Oviedo's late pre-season may impair match fitness.
  • Villarreal motivated to start season strongly with home crowd, while Oviedo aims to avoid early deficits but may adopt conservative tactics.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -275, Oviedo +750, Draw +390 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Villarreal -1.25 at -120, Oviedo +1.25 at +100 Villarreal -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 at -115, Under 2.5 at -105 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win outright on the moneyline, cover -1.25 spread, and under 2.5 goals for total match goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga season opener between Girona and Rayo Vallecano is expected to be a close contest, with Girona slightly favored. Girona recently added three loan players and promoted academy talents, but they face some injuries that impact midfield and attack. Rayo Vallecano have slightly lower chances based on recent predictive models but remain competitive at odds above 2.0. The match is poised to be tactically balanced with a modest goal output expected.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona showed resilience last season by avoiding relegation despite the challenge of Champions League play. This summer, they have a stable squad with slight reinforcements and won some pre-season friendlies against weaker teams but lost to stronger opposition. Rayo Vallecano have decent form but less predictive probability of winning, rated below Girona.
  • Historical stats and recent head-to-head data show Girona marginally ahead, with predictive simulations giving Girona a 43.6% win probability, Rayo Vallecano 30.0%, and draws at 26.5%. This suggests Girona have the slight upper hand at home.
  • Girona will be without Donny Van de Beek and Abel Ruiz due to injury, with Miguel Gutierrez questionable. These absences could weaken Girona's midfield creativity and attacking options, potentially reducing goal-scoring.
  • The game is at Girona's home ground, Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, offering home advantage. No notable external disruptions such as weather or scheduling pressure are indicated.
  • As season openers, both teams are motivated to start strongly, but Girona’s imperative to build on recent survival and Rayo Vallecano’s aim to establish themselves offer a balanced motivation aspect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona 1.31, Rayo Vallecano 2.20, Draw 2.25 Girona ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Girona -0.25 at 1.02, Rayo Vallecano +25 at 1.18 Girona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 at 1.18, Under 2.25 at 1.02 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win the match outright with a narrow margin and total goals under 2.25

Predicted Score: Girona 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga fixture between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona will take place at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao. This is a crucial late-season match with Barcelona top of the table and Athletic Bilbao placed fourth, both teams looking to secure important points for their final standings. Barcelona arrives with a slightly better recent record but faces the challenge of an energetic and motivated Athletic Bilbao side playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has shown solid home form recently with three wins in their last five matches, including a 1-0 victory over Alaves. Barcelona's form has been mixed with two wins and two losses in their last five La Liga matches, demonstrating some inconsistency but still holding first place in the league.
  • In the current season, Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona have faced each other once before, with Barcelona maintaining a strong historical advantage in overall meetings. Home advantage could be significant for Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés, but Barcelona typically poses a formidable challenge.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available from the sources, suggesting both squads may be near full strength for this key fixture.
  • The match is the final game of the La Liga season, adding motivation for both teams. Barcelona aims to consolidate their title run, while Athletic Bilbao seeks to secure a Champions League qualification spot. The match location at San Mamés provides a passionate home crowd advantage for Athletic Bilbao.
  • Barcelona, leading the league, is motivated to seal the title with a win. Athletic Bilbao, in fourth place, is motivated to secure European qualification, making this game highly competitive and intense.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 220, Barcelona: 110, Draw: 280 Barcelona Win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: 25 -102, Barcelona: -0.25 -118 Barcelona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -118, Under: 3 -102 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anticipating a tightly contested match, Barcelona is slightly favored due to overall quality and league standing, but Athletic Bilbao’s home advantage and motivation make a draw or narrow win for either side plausible. Expect both teams to play cautiously with chances to break through in key moments.

Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 1 – 2 Barcelona


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Villarreal vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Villarreal and Sevilla at Estadio de la Ceramica is the final round fixture of the 2024-2025 season. Villarreal, currently 5th in the league with 67 points, hosts Sevilla, struggling in 16th place with 41 points. Villarreal has been in strong form at home this season, while Sevilla has been inconsistent, losing half of their last six matches. Both teams tend to score in their head-to-head meetings, making this an intriguing matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has won 20 out of 39 matches this season and remains unbeaten in their last 6 home matches against Sevilla across all competitions. In contrast, Sevilla has lost 50% of their recent 6 games and is fighting relegation pressure.
  • In the last 6 encounters, Villarreal and Sevilla have drawn 3 times, with all last 6 meetings featuring goals from both sides. Villarreal has never lost to Sevilla at home in the last 6 matches.
  • No specific injury details were available from the data, but lineups remain key to monitor closer to kickoff.
  • The venue favors Villarreal significantly as they are playing at home. Sevilla's lower league standing and recent form add pressure.
  • Villarreal likely aims to secure European qualification with a win and improve on their 5th place standing, while Sevilla fights to climb out of the relegation zone, increasing the stakes for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: 475, Villarreal: -210, Draw: 390 Villarreal Win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Sevilla: 1.25 -120, Villarreal: -1.25 +100 Villarreal -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 3 -122, Under: 3 +102 Over 3 Goals ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal is favored to win given their home dominance, consistent recent form, and higher league standing, with an expected competitive scoreline due to Sevilla's tendency to score in head-to-head games.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Villarreal


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