Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Moreirense FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada (Santa Clara's home ground)
Game Overview
Santa Clara, sitting at the bottom after a heavy 0-3 loss in their opener, host Moreirense FC who are in good form after a 2-1 away win, making this a crucial match for both seeking early season momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Santa Clara lost heavily 0-3 at home on matchday 1 and desperately need points; Moreirense started stronger with a 2-1 away victory and currently sits 7th in the league.
- In the last 22 meetings, the teams are closely matched with Santa Clara having 7 wins, Moreirense 8 wins, and 7 draws, showing a balanced historical rivalry.
- No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups for either side, indicating both teams should field near full-strength squads.
- Home advantage favors Santa Clara, playing at Estádio de São Miguel, with fan support likely boosting their motivation.
- Santa Clara urgently need a positive result to stop a poor start, while Moreirense want to maintain momentum and consolidate their mid-table position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Santa Clara -115, Draw 215, Moreirense 365 | Santa Clara | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Santa Clara -0.5 -115, Moreirense +50 -105 | Santa Clara -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2 -102, Under 2 -118 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Santa Clara 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santa Clara moneyline (home win), spread -0.5 for Santa Clara, Under 2 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0