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Geoffrey Neal vs. Carlos Prates Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Geoffrey Neal vs Carlos Prates - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

This welterweight fight features Geoffrey Neal (16-6) versus Carlos Prates (21-7) at UFC 319. Neal is a powerful, durable southpaw with a high volume striking rate and solid finishing ability. Prates is a longer reach, switch-hitter with slightly better strike accuracy and defense. Both fighters have susceptibility to damage, creating a high likelihood of an incomplete fight going under the total rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Neal lands significantly more strikes per minute (5.05) but also absorbs more (5.44), while Prates lands at a slightly lower rate (3.60) but defends fewer strikes.
  • No direct H2H records are available, but styles suggest Prates' reach and finishing instincts give him a tactical edge.
  • Neal has some recent injury concerns that may impair his defense and durability in early aggressive phases.
  • Bout held in Chicago's United Center with no major travel or environmental issues affecting either fighter.
  • Prates, at 31, is in prime form seeking to capitalize on his physical advantages, while Neal (34) looks to prove resilience despite injury setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Prates -245 / Neal +200 Carlos Prates ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Prates -3.5 -165 / Neal +3.5 120 Carlos Prates -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 +120 / Under 2.5 -154 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Prates -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Prates to win by stoppage under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Carlos Prates wins via TKO 2nd round

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Geoffrey Neal vs. Carlos Prates Prediction

Match Analysis: Geoffrey Neal vs Carlos Prates – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-16 Time: 3:15 AM UTC Location: United Center, Chicago Game Overview This welterweight fight features Geoffrey Neal (16-6) versus Carlos Prates (21-7) at UFC 319. Neal is a powerful, durable southpaw with a high volume striking rate and solid finishing ability. Prates is […]

August 17, 2025 Carlos Prates Geoffrey Neal MMA/Boxing

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Karine Silva vs. Dione Barbosa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Karine Silva vs Dione Barbosa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 10:15 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC 319 Event Venue (not specified)

Game Overview

This is a women's flyweight bout between Karine Silva and Dione Barbosa at UFC 319. Both fighters have grappling strengths with competitive striking. Barbosa won their previous 2019 meeting by unanimous decision, but Silva is currently favored.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Karine Silva has shown more recent activity and form, entering as a slight favorite with odds around -205 to -220. Barbosa is less active and accepted the fight on short notice, which can impact conditioning and preparation.
  • Barbosa has a 2019 victory over Silva via unanimous decision, indicating competitive parity and knowledge of each other's styles.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter, but Barbosa's short notice acceptance may imply less preparation time.
  • The fight takes place at UFC 319, a high-profile event likely motivating both fighters. Barbosa's underdog status (+175 to +195) might provide additional incentive.
  • Barbosa is motivated as the underdog looking to upset a favored Silva, who seeks to validate her position as favorite and avenge a previous loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Karine Silva: -205, Dione Barbosa: +175 Karine Silva ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Karine Silva -1.5 rounds: N/A, Dione Barbosa +1.5 rounds: N/A Karine Silva to win outright (since spread bets not available) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -245, Under 2.5: +195 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Karine Silva -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 83%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Karine Silva win; Spread: Silva to win by decision (assuming a 3-round fight, spread -1.5 rounds is not offered, so prediction focuses on moneyline); Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Karine Silva wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Alibi Idiris vs. Joseph Morales Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alibi Idiris vs Joseph Morales – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 10:10 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC 319, Venue TBD

Game Overview

Alibi Idiris (10-0) enters this flyweight UFC matchup unbeaten and heavily favored against Joseph Morales (12-2), a skilled but slightly less accomplished opponent. Both fighters share the same height and weight, but Idiris’ undefeated streak and strong recent form set the tone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alibi Idiris boasts a perfect 10-0 record with consistent wins in recent bouts, indicating peak form and momentum. Joseph Morales holds a respectable 12-2 record but has dropped two fights in recent times, suggesting some vulnerability.
  • No direct previous head-to-head matchups between Alibi Idiris and Joseph Morales are found, making comparative analysis reliant on overall records and fighting style.
  • No reported injuries have been disclosed for either fighter, indicating both should be competing at full capacity.
  • Fight to take place at UFC 319, a major event likely motivating both fighters to perform at their best. No adverse travel or other external factors reported.
  • Alibi Idiris’ undefeated record adds pressure to maintain perfection, providing strong intrinsic motivation. Joseph Morales has strong incentive to upset the favorite and climb ranks, but this underdog motivation is less quantifiable than Idiris’ momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alibi Idiris -450, Joseph Morales +350 Alibi Idiris ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Not available explicitly; implied -1.5 rounds for Idiris likely Alibi Idiris -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -150, Under 2.5 rounds +120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alibi Idiris -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alibi Idiris to win by decision or stoppage within 3 rounds

Predicted Score: Alibi Idiris wins via TKO in Round 2


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Edson Barboza vs. Drakkar Klose Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Edson Barboza vs Drakkar Klose – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

Edson Barboza faces Drakkar Klose in a UFC lightweight bout on August 16, 2025. Barboza is a veteran with a career record of 24-12-0 and a reach advantage, while Klose holds a 15-3-1 record and slightly higher significant strikes landed per minute.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barboza is known for his striking volume and accuracy, landing 4.11 significant strikes per minute with a 44% connect rate, but absorbs more strikes (4.65 per minute). Klose lands slightly more strikes per minute (4.33) with a higher accuracy (55%) and better defensive metrics against strikes allowed (3.54 per minute). Recent form favors Barboza’s experience and finishing ability.
  • No previous head-to-head bouts exist between Barboza and Klose, making this a fresh tactical matchup.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter, both expected to be in full health for this bout.
  • Barboza fights in Chicago, granting a possible minor home crowd advantage. No other significant external factors noted.
  • Barboza aims to add a win late in his career reinforcing his legacy, while Klose seeks to establish himself amongst top contenders making this a high-motivation contest on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barboza -135 / Klose +115 Barboza ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Barboza -1.5 rounds (approx. -120) Barboza -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-162) / Under 2.5 (+132) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Edson Barboza 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Barboza win; Spread: Barboza by decision (-1.5 rounds); Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Barboza wins by unanimous decision, 3 rounds to 0


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Nursultan Ruziboev vs. Bryan Battle Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nursultan Ruziboev vs Bryan Battle – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

A UFC middleweight matchup at UFC 319 featuring Bryan Battle, a 13-2 rising contender with a strong mix of striking and wrestling, facing Nursultan Ruziboev, a UFC newcomer looking to establish himself with an aggressive style and potential finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bryan Battle is on a 4-fight winning streak in the UFC with a balanced record of knockouts and submissions, maintaining high striking accuracy and solid wrestling defense. Ruziboev is less established but dangerous with finishing capability, aiming to make a statement.
  • This is their first professional matchup, so no direct history between these two fighters.
  • No recent reported injuries for either fighter, both are expected to compete at full strength.
  • The fight takes place on the UFC 319 prelim card at the United Center in Chicago, providing a large, supportive atmosphere. Bryan Battle’s motivation is high to climb the middleweight ranks; Ruziboev is motivated to secure his UFC status.
  • Bryan Battle aims to continue his winning streak and solidify his position in the division, while Nursultan Ruziboev seeks a breakthrough victory to establish himself in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bryan Battle -170, Nursultan Ruziboev +145 Bryan Battle ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -115, Under 2.5 rounds -115 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bryan Battle -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryan Battle to win by decision

Predicted Score: Bryan Battle wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Alfie Davis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Alfie Davis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States

Game Overview

Lightweight division main card PFL 2025 Finals matchup between Gadzhi Rabadanov and Alfie Davis, two experienced fighters with contrasting odds favoring Rabadanov as a strong favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gadzhi Rabadanov is in excellent recent form with a dominant fighting style, a strong 19-5-1 record, and consistently successful takedowns and control. Alfie Davis shows resilience but is the underdog with less consistent recent performances.
  • No confirmed prior head-to-head records found, making this essentially a first encounter, increasing unpredictability but favoring the more dominant fighter overall.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full physical capability.
  • Fight takes place in a neutral venue with no home advantage; however, Rabadanov's favored status and betting market confidence may affect psychological momentum.
  • Both fighters motivated highly due to PFL Finals stakes, but Rabadanov's favorite status implies stronger confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov: -670, Alfie Davis: 430 Gadzhi Rabadanov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5: -750, Alfie Davis +1.5: 500 Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gadzhi Rabadanov -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gadzhi Rabadanov at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Gadzhi Rabadanov wins by TKO in round 2


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Liz Carmouche vs. Jena Bishop Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Liz Carmouche vs Jena Bishop – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL event venue (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This Flyweight division PFL matchup features Liz Carmouche versus Jena Bishop, with Carmouche as a strong favorite due to experience and historical form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liz Carmouche has more fight experience and generally stronger past performances, while Jena Bishop is younger but less proven.
  • No known previous head-to-head between these fighters, making historical matchups non-influential.
  • No recent injury reports for either fighter.
  • Fight occurs under PFL rules, no unusual external conditions reported.
  • Both fighters motivated; Carmouche aiming to maintain dominance at flyweight, Bishop looking for breakout victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liz Carmouche -370, Jena Bishop +265 Liz Carmouche ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Assumed standard -1.5 rounds for Carmouche Liz Carmouche -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Assumed set around 2.5 rounds Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liz Carmouche -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Liz Carmouche at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liz Carmouche to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Liz Carmouche wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Mads Burnell vs. Robert Watley Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mads Burnell vs Robert Watley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL 2025 Finals Venue (exact location not specified)

Game Overview

Mads Burnell and Robert Watley face off in the PFL 2025 finals at bantamweight, with Burnell favored owing to his grappling experience and recent form, against Watley's striking-heavy style and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burnell demonstrates strong grappling and consistent performance in recent bouts, while Watley relies on striking with some volatility but good finishing ability.
  • No prior recorded professional encounter between Burnell and Watley, making this first matchup a gauge of style contrast.
  • No publicly reported injuries or notable physical setbacks for either fighter approaching the bout.
  • Both fighters motivated by PFL finals stakes and contract incentives; no adverse external conditions identified.
  • Burnell's pursuit of championship and possible UFC advancement offers high motivation. Watley equally driven as an underdog to capture attention with a big upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mads Burnell: -170, Robert Watley: +130 Mads Burnell ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mads Burnell -1.5 rounds: -165, Robert Watley +1.5 rounds: +135 Mads Burnell -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mads Burnell 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mads Burnell at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mads Burnell to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Burnell wins by unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)


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Marcirley Alves da Silva vs. Justin Wetzell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcirley Alves da Silva vs Justin Wetzell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: PFL event venue (not specified)

Game Overview

The Bantamweight title fight in the 2025 PFL tournament between Marcirley Alves da Silva and Justin Wetzell features two well-matched fighters with Alves favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marcirley Alves has demonstrated strong recent form with decisive wins in the PFL 2025 season. Justin Wetzell has also performed well but is not the betting favorite.
  • No prior recorded head-to-head bouts between Alves and Wetzell, making this encounter a fresh contest with no direct matchup history.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the fight, indicating both in good health and peaking for the title match.
  • The bout's high stakes (PFL 2025 Bantamweight Tournament Title) could elevate intensity and fighter motivation; the fight is on the main card attracting significant attention.
  • Both fighters highly motivated as this fight determines the tournament champion, with Alves having additional leverage as the betting favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcirley Alves da Silva: -225, Justin Wetzell: 172 Marcirley Alves da Silva ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Marcirley Alves da Silva -1.5: -110, Justin Wetzell +1.5: -110 Marcirley Alves da Silva -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcirley Alves da Silva 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Marcirley Alves da Silva at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcirley Alves da Silva to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Marcirley Alves da Silva wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu vs. André Borges Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu vs André Borges – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 214 (venue not explicitly stated)

Game Overview

Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu, a 31-year-old Kyrgyz fighter with a strong 22-3-0-1 (NC) record and a balanced KO/submission/decision finish distribution, faces 34-year-old Brazilian André Borges, who holds a 15-6-0 professional record with a KO-heavy style and less submission offense. The fight is part of LFA 214 on August 15, 2025, expected to be a dynamic matchup between Uulu's grappling/striking blend and Borges' endurance and tactical approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Uulu carries momentum and impressive finishing ability with 12 KOs and 4 submissions in 26 total fights, displaying versatility and aggressiveness. Borges is a durable opponent with 10 KOs, emphasizing striking and stamina but lacking submission wins.
  • No direct previous matches found between Uulu and Borges, so no head-to-head data is available.
  • No recent injury reports for either fighter were found, indicating both are likely at full health.
  • Fight takes place at LFA 214, a reputable regional promotion. No significant travel or altitude effects are noted. Motivation is high on both sides given the stakes.
  • Uulu, at 31, is in prime MMA age with clear motivation to capitalize on his skill set. Borges, at 34, aims to leverage experience and tactical endurance to upset the favorite status of Uulu.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -649 for Uulu, +400 for Borges Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -1.5 rounds Uulu -300, +1.5 rounds Borges +220 Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu to win via moneyline, covering the spread with a decisive finish under the total rounds

Predicted Score: Kubanychbek Abdisalam Uulu wins by TKO in round 2


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