Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL
Game Overview
Chicago Fire hosts St. Louis City SC in a 2025 MLS regular season match. Chicago Fire enters with stronger recent form and home advantage, while St. Louis City SC is a relatively new team still seeking consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Fire has shown better consistency this season and maintains a positive home record. St. Louis City SC struggles for wins and sits low in MLS standings with poor playoff odds.
- Limited H2H history due to St. Louis City SC's recent MLS entry, but prior matches suggest Chicago Fire holds an advantage.
- No major injuries reported for Chicago Fire. St. Louis City SCβs key scorer JoΓ£o Klauss is available but overall squad depth is limited.
- Game at home benefits Chicago Fire; weather and travel factors neutral given both teamsβ MLS travel schedules.
- Chicago Fire seeks to solidify playoff positioning; St. Louis City SC aims to build momentum but faces an uphill battle.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire -172, St. Louis City SC +390, Draw +340 | Chicago Fire | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Chicago Fire -0.5 -179, St. Louis City SC +50 +132 | Chicago Fire -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 +107, Under 3.5 -143 | Over 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Fire to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderately high scoring game over 3.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1