Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs Real Salt Lake – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Game Overview
Charlotte FC hosts Real Salt Lake in an MLS matchup where Charlotte FC is the home favorite. Both teams have shown similar form recently, but Charlotte FC has slightly better defensive stats and the advantage of playing at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC has a lower goals conceded per game (1.08) compared to Real Salt Lake (1.36), but Real Salt Lake scores more goals on average (1.83) than Charlotte (1.27). Charlotte wins 44% of their matches vs 41% for Real Salt Lake. Both teams have similar recent form with multiple wins in last 5 games.
- Recent H2H trends show a competitive balance but with a slight edge toward Charlotte FC winning at home. Expert consensus favors Charlotte FC moneyline and spread.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key players or lineup.
- Playing at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte provides home advantage for Charlotte FC. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal.
- Charlotte FC is motivated to consolidate their position at home late in the season, while Real Salt Lake looks to push for points on the road, increasing competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 104, Real Salt Lake 234, Draw 270 | Charlotte FC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Charlotte FC -0.5 (-101), Real Salt Lake +50 (-132) | Charlotte FC -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-164), Under 2.5 (123) | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 38% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the game to go under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0