Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs D.C. United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saputo, Montreal
Game Overview
CF Montreal, playing at home, faces D.C. United in a Major League Soccer matchup. Montreal shows a slightly better recent form and defensive solidity, while D.C. United has struggled with consistency and concedes more goals on average.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montreal has a modestly better goal difference and win percentage, and concedes fewer goals per game. Both teams average around 1.4 to 1.5 goals scored per game, but D.C. United concedes over 2 goals per game suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
- Recent H2H data is limited, but Montreal's home advantage and stronger defensive record suggest they have a slight edge in this matchup.
- No major injury reports are highlighted for either team, indicating both squads likely available near full strength.
- Montreal plays at home (Stade Saputo), potentially benefiting from familiar conditions and travel fatigue impacting D.C. United.
- Montreal has a marginally better motivation stemming from a higher win percentage and home advantage, whereas D.C. United's lower form and away status reduce their momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CF Montreal -105, D.C. United +260, Draw +270 | CF Montreal | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | CF Montreal -0.5 -110, D.C. United +50 -120 | CF Montreal -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -147, Under 2.5 +111 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | CF Montreal 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
CF Montreal to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and a moderately low-scoring game under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0