Match Analysis: Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Game Overview
Toronto FC hosts Columbus Crew SC in an MLS match where Columbus enters as the slight favorite based on moneyline odds and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbus Crew has a superior recent win rate around 69% compared to Toronto FC's approximately 52%, indicating better form overall[1].
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Columbus Crew hold a marginal advantage historically and often perform well against Toronto FC[3].
- No specific injury data from sources, assume standard squad availability; any key absences might influence outcomes but currently unknown.
- The match is at Toronto's home ground BMO Field, which can help Toronto FC but Columbus Crew seems accustomed to away challenges[1].
- Both teams are motivated as mid-season MLS games impact playoff contention; Columbus Crew likely slightly more driven due to better recent results.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC: -107, Toronto FC: 270, Draw: 270 | Columbus Crew SC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Columbus Crew SC -0.5: -111, Toronto FC +50: -119 | Columbus Crew SC -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -143, Under 2.5: 107 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 26% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
For moneyline, Columbus Crew to win is the highest expected value play due to favorable odds and recent form. For spread, Columbus Crew -0.5 is recommended reflecting confidence in a Columbus win. For over/under 2.5 goals, under is preferred given typical MLS game scoring trends and tight match expectations.
Predicted Score: 1-0 Columbus Crew SC