Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Unknown (likely Subaru Park or Red Bulls Arena, MLS venue not specified)
Game Overview
This MLS matchup features New York Red Bulls hosting Philadelphia Union, who currently hold a dominant 15-match unbeaten streak over NYRB and top the Eastern Conference.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Union lead the MLS Supporters Shield standings with strong recent form, while New York Red Bulls are mid-table with inconsistent results. Union average 1.82 goals/game to NYRB's 1.59, conceding slightly more goals on average than NYRB.
- Philadelphia Union have an impressive 15-match unbeaten streak (11 wins, 4 draws) against New York Red Bulls dating back to 2019, including a recent 3-2 U.S. Open Cup victory over NYRB.
- Philadelphia appears close to full strength after Gold Cup players return. New York has no major reported injuries affecting starting lineup.
- Weather and postponements have recently impacted schedules, but the August 16th match is expected to proceed without disruption. Motivation is high given rivalry intensity and playoff implications.
- Philadelphia Union, as Supporters Shield frontrunners and cup quarterfinal winners over NYRB, have strong motivation to continue dominance. NYRB seek to break their winless streak against Philly, adding intensity to the encounter.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New York Red Bulls: 158, Philadelphia Union: 155, Draw: 260 | Philadelphia Union | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | New York Red Bulls +50: -196, Philadelphia Union -0.5: 146 | Philadelphia Union -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -137, Under 2.5: 104 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union 28% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Union at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Union win on the moneyline, Philadelphia Union -0.5 on the spread, and over 2.5 goals total.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union 3 – 1 New York Red Bulls