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Sport Recife vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features struggling Sport Recife, bottom of the league with only 6 points from 16 matches, against mid-table Sao Paulo, sitting 8th with 25 points from 18 matches. Sao Paulo are favorites given their better form and standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife is in poor form with no wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, and a -16 goal difference. Sao Paulo has moderate form with 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, and a neutral goal difference of 0.
  • Recent H2H data favors Sao Paulo with better points accumulation; Sao Paulo's historical success and higher league position imply a psychological edge.
  • No significant injury updates are reported for either side; both teams likely to field near full-strength squads.
  • Sport Recife plays at home but with low motivation due to poor results. No major weather or environmental impacts expected.
  • Sao Paulo seeks to consolidate mid-table position and push for higher ranks, implying stronger motivation. Sport Recife faces pressure to avoid relegation but low morale may diminish their effectiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sport Recife 1.88, Sao Paulo 1.68, Draw 1.93 Sao Paulo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Sao Paulo 0 -118, Sport Recife 0 -112 Sao Paulo +0 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.75 -125, Under 1.75 -105 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo to win on the moneyline with a confident, low-risk approach given statistical dominance and bookmaker odds.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Sport Recife vs. Sao Paulo Prediction

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-16 Time: 9:30 PM UTC Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil Game Overview The match features struggling Sport Recife, bottom of the league with only 6 points from 16 matches, against mid-table Sao Paulo, sitting 8th with 25 points from 18 matches. Sao […]

August 16, 2025 Sao Paulo Soccer Sport Recife

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Corinthians vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Corinthians host Bahia in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A on August 17, 2025, with Corinthians slightly favored at home amid a competitive matchup featuring closely matched recent performances and moderate standings disparity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians hold a lower league position (13th) with 22 points than Bahia (4th) who have 30 points. Corinthians have struggled with consistency, evidenced by 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses in 19 matches, while Bahia maintain a positive record with 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses in 17 matches.
  • The head-to-head data leans neither heavily in favor of a Corinthians nor Bahia win with prior results indicating a balanced matchup. Recent draws are common, as reflected in a ~43% draw probability in statistical models.
  • No specific injury data is detailed in the current information, suggesting no critical absences reported for either side affecting key players.
  • The match is at Corinthians’ home ground, Neo Quimica Arena, providing them a home advantage. No information on weather or other external disruptions was provided.
  • Bahia’s higher league standing and recent form suggest stronger motivation to secure points for maintaining their top-tier position, whereas Corinthians aim to improve their position and avoid slipping further down the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 1.25, away: 2.15, draw: 2.05 Draw ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Bahia +25: -122, Corinthians -0.25: 102 Corinthians -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -118, Under 2 goals: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 31%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 43%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw on moneyline, Corinthians -0.25 spread, Under 2 goals in over/under market

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Vitoria vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitoria's Home Stadium

Game Overview

Vitoria hosts Juventude in a Brasileirão Serie A match. Vitoria is positioned 16th with 18 points and a negative goal difference, while Juventude ranks 19th with 11 points and a much worse goal difference.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitoria holds a slight edge with more points, better recent form, and a better defensive record compared to Juventude's poor goal difference and numerous losses.
  • Recent clashes favor Vitoria modestly; Juventude won the last encounter 2-0 away, but Vitoria overall has a higher win probability historically.
  • No specific injury information available, assuming typical squad availability for both teams.
  • Home advantage to Vitoria is significant; match at Vitoria's venue.
  • Vitoria needs points to avoid relegation and has stronger incentive given their higher league standing and point tally.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitoria: -145, Juventude: 430, Draw: 250 Vitoria win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Vitoria -0.75: -110, Juventude +75: -110 Vitoria -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vitoria win. Spread: Vitoria -0.75. Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Fluminense vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Fluminense, currently ranked 7th, hosts Fortaleza, ranked 18th, in a key Brasileirão Série A match. Fluminense has shown stronger recent form and better home results, while Fortaleza struggles with consistency and lower league placement.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense boasts a solid recent run with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceding 1.2. Fortaleza’s recent form is weaker, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses, but lower confidence in away matches and a lower average of 0.6 points per match against Fluminense historically.
  • In the past 19 encounters, Fluminense leads with 9 wins versus Fortaleza’s 6, and 4 draws. Since 2024, Fortaleza has won more recent direct clashes, but Fluminense still holds a historical edge especially at home. Recent H2H show mixed results but Fluminense is favored in home strategy.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups for either side immediately preceding this match, implying both teams can field near-full strength squads.
  • Home advantage for Fluminense at the iconic Maracanã with strong fan support and no notable weather or travel disruptions expected. Fortaleza faces a long away trip and less supportive atmosphere.
  • Fluminense sits comfortably mid-table seeking points to strengthen top-table positioning, enhancing motivation. Fortaleza fights to avoid relegation, which motivates urgency but may risk defensive lapses under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense -135, Fortaleza 395, Draw 250 Fluminense ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Fluminense -0.75 -102, Fortaleza +75 -118 Fluminense -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win on the moneyline, cover -0.75 spread, and match to go under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Ceará vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Ceará vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brasileirão match features Ceará hosting Bragantino-SP. Ceará sits mid-table, performing inconsistently at home, while Bragantino holds a slightly higher league position and has shown moderately better form overall. Their recent head-to-head encounters are fairly balanced but slightly favor Bragantino.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ceará has a recent form with 4 wins and 6 losses in their last 10 matches, showing a 40% win rate and struggles in defense. Bragantino also holds a 40% win rate with some draws and slightly better away performance.
  • Recent head-to-head show a close contest with Bragantino winning 3, Ceará winning 1, and 4 draws across their last 8 matches. Last season encounters and current season matchups suggest tight competition but slight edge to Bragantino.
  • No major injury reports are currently confirmed for either side, indicating both teams likely to field strong lineups.
  • Match played at Ceará's home stadium provides a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal; no significant external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams are motivated for points to climb or consolidate place in the league table. Bragantino’s slightly higher standing provides marginal motivation advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceará: 100, Bragantino-SP: 275, Draw: 210 Ceará ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Ceará -0.25: -128, Bragantino +25: 108 Ceará -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -130, Under 2: 110 Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ceará 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ceará to win outright on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, with a cautious under 2 goals expectation.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Juventude vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Juventude vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-11
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi

Game Overview

This Brasileirão Série A matchup features Juventude hosting Corinthians. Both teams have struggled recently, but Corinthians possess a younger squad and a slightly stronger overall form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventude is on a poor run with 4 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, while Corinthians have 2 losses, 2 draws, and 1 win in their last 5, showing slightly better stability.
  • Recent head-to-heads show a balance with some high-scoring matches, including a 3-1 win for Corinthians and a 2-1 win for Juventude, plus draws. Matches tend to be competitive but Corinthians have a slight edge.
  • No specific injury data reported for either side from available sources, implying relatively stable squads.
  • Playing at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi gives Juventude home advantage but their poor form and younger Corinthians team dynamics may offset this.
  • Corinthians appear more motivated to climb the table, while Juventude struggles to escape the relegation zone pressures.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corinthians: 1.2, Juventude: 2.55, Draw: 2.2 Corinthians ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Corinthians: -115, Juventude: -105 Corinthians -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2: -115, Under 2: -105 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corinthians to win on the moneyline; Corinthians -0.25 on the spread; Under 2 goals on over/under

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Grêmio vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Grêmio's home stadium

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brazil matchup features Grêmio hosting Sport Recife. Grêmio has a marginally stronger recent form at home with slightly better defensive stats, while Sport Recife has shown resilience with a solid recent winning record and a low rate of conceding goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio's recent form shows moderate attacking power with an average of ~1.32 goals scored and a solid defense conceding around 0.68 per match. Sport Recife averages 1.6 goals scored and only about 0.8 conceded in their recent matches, indicating a balanced team performance.
  • Across about 24 to 25 previous encounters, Grêmio has won approximately 7-8 matches while Sport Recife has won around 10. The teams tend to have moderately high scoring games (~2.9 goals per match historically). Recent H2H is fairly balanced with slight edge to Sport Recife in wins.
  • No specific recent injury data available for key players on either side, so full-strength line-ups are assumed.
  • Match played at Grêmio's home ground, giving them home advantage. No unusual external factors impacting match conditions have been reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points in the league; Sport Recife has been on a better recent streak which could boost confidence, while Grêmio aims to leverage home advantage to recover points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -115, away: 340, draw: 250 Grêmio ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Grêmio -0.5: -115, Sport Recife +50: -105 Grêmio -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over 2.25: 105, under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to win moneyline and cover -0.5 spread with under 2.25 goals total.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Cruzeiro vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Santos in a Brasileirão Serie A clash. Cruzeiro is in strong form and ranks 2nd in the league, while Santos struggles near the relegation zone at 15th place. The match is critical for Cruzeiro to maintain title push momentum and for Santos to avoid further distancing from safety.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro has won 11 of 18 matches with a +19 goal difference, showing balanced attack and defense. Santos has only 5 wins in 17 matches with a -4 goal difference, reflecting struggles on both ends.
  • Historically, Cruzeiro dominates recent encounters vs. Santos, with a higher win rate and positive goal differential, giving them psychological and tactical edges.
  • No major absences reported for either team, suggesting near-full strength squads available for selection.
  • Match played at Cruzeiro's home ground, where they have strong support and a high win rate, providing a clear advantage.
  • Cruzeiro motivated to consolidate top league position and fight for the title. Santos highly motivated to escape relegation zone but lacks consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: -180, Santos: 525, Draw: 300 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cruzeiro: -1 -102, Santos: 1 -118 Cruzeiro -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -110, Under: 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Vasco da Gama vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário

Game Overview

A tightly contested Brazil Campeonato Serie A match between Vasco da Gama and Atletico Mineiro, two historically balanced rivals with nearly equal head-to-head wins and draws. Vasco is playing at home with slightly better recent offensive stats, while Atletico shows stronger defensive solidity and efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches but also conceded around 1.6 per game. Atletico Mineiro scored 3 goals in their last 5 but concede 1.2 per match and show a higher Asian handicap win % recently (60% vs Vasco's 20%).
  • In their last 23 encounters, Vasco and Atletico are nearly even with 9 wins each and 5 draws. Over multiple sources and more recent stats, Vasco has a slight edge at home with 10 wins to Atletico’s 8, showing very balanced rivalry dynamics.
  • No major injury updates provided; expected lineups to be available closer to match start. Impact of absences likely minimal or unknown currently.
  • Match played at Vasco’s home ground, Estádio São Januário, providing nominal home advantage. No other significant external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams are mid-table in Serie A (Vasco 11th, Atletico 12th) and motivated to gain points in the 19th round. Atletico’s slight recent form advantage and higher Asian handicap win % imply better momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 1.50, Atletico Mineiro 2.05, Draw 2.10 Draw ★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread Atletico Mineiro +25 (-134), Vasco da Gama -0.25 (112) Atletico Mineiro +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (100) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Palmeiras vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

Palmeiras hosting Ceará in Serie A Round 19 with Palmeiras historically dominant at home and having won the last 3 encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras sits 3rd with 33 points from 16 matches (10W-3D-3L), scoring 21 goals and conceding 14. They are in decent form (ldwwwd). Ceará is 11th with 22 points from 17 matches (6W-4D-7L), more inconsistent with a 3W-2L recent split.
  • Palmeiras leads the H2H with 11 wins to Ceará's 4, and 5 draws out of 20 meetings. Palmeiras have won the last 3 matches, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Ceará's 1.1.
  • No specific major injuries reported for either side ahead of the clash, lineups expected close to full strength.
  • The match is played at Palmeiras' home ground Allianz Parque, giving them a home advantage backed by strong local support. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal.
  • Palmeiras motivated to maintain top table position and push for title; Ceará fighting to climb away from the mid-table logjam.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -205, Draw 320, Ceará 600 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Palmeiras -1 -115, Ceará +1 -105 Palmeiras -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on the moneyline and cover the -1 spread; match to stay under 2.25 total goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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