Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Juventude – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Vitoria's Home Stadium
Game Overview
Vitoria hosts Juventude in a Brasileirão Serie A match. Vitoria is positioned 16th with 18 points and a negative goal difference, while Juventude ranks 19th with 11 points and a much worse goal difference.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vitoria holds a slight edge with more points, better recent form, and a better defensive record compared to Juventude's poor goal difference and numerous losses.
- Recent clashes favor Vitoria modestly; Juventude won the last encounter 2-0 away, but Vitoria overall has a higher win probability historically.
- No specific injury information available, assuming typical squad availability for both teams.
- Home advantage to Vitoria is significant; match at Vitoria's venue.
- Vitoria needs points to avoid relegation and has stronger incentive given their higher league standing and point tally.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Vitoria: -145, Juventude: 430, Draw: 250 | Vitoria win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Vitoria -0.75: -110, Juventude +75: -110 | Vitoria -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Vitoria -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Vitoria win. Spread: Vitoria -0.75. Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0