Match Analysis: Nice vs Toulouse – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 7:05 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice
Game Overview
Nice hosts Toulouse in the Ligue 1 opener. Nice is marginally favored by bookmakers considering recent form and home advantage, but historical H2H points to a tight, low-scoring match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nice showed solid home form last season while Toulouse's recent matches indicate moderate competitiveness but mixed results including draws and losses.
- Last six matches between these teams featured four draws and mostly low-scoring games, with six of seven encounters yielding two or fewer total goals.
- No major injury concerns reported impacting starting lineups significantly for either team.
- Season opener atmosphere typically balances motivation; Allianz Riviera offers Nice a familiar and supportive environment.
- Both teams are motivated to start strong, but Nice likely more motivated due to home advantage and historical ranking superiority.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nice 1.13, Toulouse 2.55, Draw 2.35 | Nice | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Nice -0.25 (-123), Toulouse +25 (103) | Nice -0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (1.02), Under 2.5 (1.22) | Under 2.5 goals | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nice 28% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Nice at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nice to win on the moneyline, covering the slight spread, with the match finishing under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0