Match Analysis: Ceará vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil
Game Overview
This Brasileirão match features Ceará hosting Bragantino-SP. Ceará sits mid-table, performing inconsistently at home, while Bragantino holds a slightly higher league position and has shown moderately better form overall. Their recent head-to-head encounters are fairly balanced but slightly favor Bragantino.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ceará has a recent form with 4 wins and 6 losses in their last 10 matches, showing a 40% win rate and struggles in defense. Bragantino also holds a 40% win rate with some draws and slightly better away performance.
- Recent head-to-head show a close contest with Bragantino winning 3, Ceará winning 1, and 4 draws across their last 8 matches. Last season encounters and current season matchups suggest tight competition but slight edge to Bragantino.
- No major injury reports are currently confirmed for either side, indicating both teams likely to field strong lineups.
- Match played at Ceará's home stadium provides a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal; no significant external disruptions noted.
- Both teams are motivated for points to climb or consolidate place in the league table. Bragantino’s slightly higher standing provides marginal motivation advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ceará: 100, Bragantino-SP: 275, Draw: 210 | Ceará | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Ceará -0.25: -128, Bragantino +25: 108 | Ceará -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2: -130, Under 2: 110 | Under 2 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ceará 10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 26% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ceará to win outright on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, with a cautious under 2 goals expectation.
Predicted Score: 1-0