Match Analysis: Heracles Almelo vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Erve Asito, Almelo, Netherlands
Game Overview
Heracles Almelo, currently 16th in the Eredivisie, host NEC Nijmegen, who sit 2nd, in a Round 2 Eredivisie match. NEC is the stronger side overall, having scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches compared to Heracles' 6. Heracles show defensive vulnerability, having not kept a clean sheet in 7 matches. The two teams' recent encounters have produced no draws in the last 6 meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- NEC Nijmegen has a significantly better recent form, scoring heavily (15 goals in 5 matches) and positioning high in the table (2nd). Heracles have struggled with defense and form, placed 16th and conceding frequently.
- NEC leads the historical matchup with 10 wins to Heracles' 8, with 3 draws overall. Recent matches between them produce no draws in the last 6 encounters, indicating a tendency for decisive outcomes.
- Lineup details remain unavailable hours before kickoff, limiting injury impact analysis. No major known absences reported.
- The match is played at Heracles' home stadium, Erve Asito, yet they have not leveraged home advantage strongly given their league standing.
- NEC, as a top contender, have strong motivation to secure three points early. Heracles under pressure to improve results and avoid relegation zones, but recent form weakens their edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Heracles Almelo: 1.8, NEC Nijmegen: 1.43, Draw: 2.4 | NEC Nijmegen | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Heracles Almelo: 1.05, NEC Nijmegen: 1.25 | NEC Nijmegen 0 spread | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: 1.05, Under 2.75: 1.15 | Over 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | NEC Nijmegen 41% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NEC Nijmegen to win on the moneyline, with a cautious spread against Heracles and expecting the match to go over 2.75 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-2