Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Barcelona – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mallorca Home Stadium
Game Overview
Barcelona heads into this La Liga matchup as strong favorites due to dominant recent form and historically superior head-to-head results against Mallorca. Mallorca remains an underdog with long odds and less consistent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Barcelona has won 16 of their last 18 La Liga matches and boasts 14 wins in their last 15 encounters with Mallorca across all competitions, indicating sustained dominance. Mallorca's recent form does not compare favorably.
- Barcelona has a decisive edge historically, winning 14 of the last 15 matches versus Mallorca, suggesting tactical and squad quality superiority.
- No significant injuries reported affecting Barcelona's lineup. Mallorca's injury situation is relatively stable, but given their underdog status, depth may be an issue.
- Match at Mallorca's home venue may offer some slight home advantage, but Barcelona's superior quality likely outweighs this.
- Barcelona is motivated to continue their strong start to the season and maintain momentum. Mallorca will aim to upset but faces a very challenging opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Barcelona: -199, Mallorca: 500, Draw: 355 | Barcelona | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Barcelona: -1 -120, Mallorca: +1 100 | Barcelona -1 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -120, Under 2.75: 100 | Over 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Barcelona -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Barcelona to win straight up with a handicap (-1) and a moderately high scoring game over 2.75 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-3