Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-14
- Time: 5:06 PM UTC
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Game Overview
The Seattle Mariners (67-54) visit the Baltimore Orioles (54-66) for the final game of their series after splitting the first two low-scoring contests. Mariners are slight favorites despite the series split, with both teams having struggled offensively at times this series. Starting pitchers are Logan Evans for Seattle and Tomoyuki Sugano for Baltimore, pitching in a ballpark favoring pitching performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle has been in strong form with eight wins in their last nine games and a solid pitching staff ERA of 3.78 and WHIP of 1.23. Baltimore has struggled overall but showed resilience with a walk-off win in the previous game, snapping Seattle's eight-game winning streak.
- The teams are currently tied 1-1 in this series. Seattle has won 47 of 81 games when favored this season, while Baltimore has a weaker record as underdog and overall losing record.
- No major injury reports for key starters Logan Evans and Tomoyuki Sugano. Both expected to pitch effectively.
- The game is played at Camden Yards, a pitcher-friendly park which may suppress scoring totals. Weather conditions are stable with no impact forecasted.
- Seattle is fighting for playoff positioning and comes in with strong recent momentum, while Baltimore is out of playoff contention but motivated after a recent emotional walk-off win at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Baltimore Orioles: +112, Seattle Mariners: -132 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Baltimore Orioles +1.5: -140, Seattle Mariners -1.5: +116 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | β β β ββ 66% |
Over/under | Over 9.5: -122, Under 9.5: +100 | Under 9.5 | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners moneyline
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4 - Baltimore Orioles 2
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