Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Casa Pia - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-15
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal
Game Overview
AVS Futebol SAD hosts Casa Pia in a Portugal Primeira Liga clash. Both teams have struggled recently, with AVS showing a worse recent form. Casa Pia has a slightly better recent win rate but carries defensive concerns.
Key Factors to Consider
- AVS is in poor form with only 1 win in last 10 games (10%), 7 losses. Casa Pia fared a bit better (30% wins) but also lost 60% of last 10 games. AVS’s defense is more vulnerable, conceding 48 goals this season vs Casa Pia's 34.
- Recent H2H data shows mixed results; no clear dominance. Overall, the matches have been competitive with Casa Pia slightly favored in recent encounters.
- No major injury updates found likely impacting starting lineups for either side.
- Home advantage for AVS in a familiar stadium, but momentum and form favor Casa Pia marginally.
- Casa Pia needs points to stabilize mid-table position; AVS fights to avoid relegation, adding pressure but also urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AVS Futebol SAD: 1.68, Casa Pia: 1.78, Draw: 2 | Casa Pia | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | AVS Futebol SAD: -115, Casa Pia: -105 | Casa Pia +0 (Draw No Bet) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: 1.05, Under 2.25: 1.25 | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Casa Pia 25% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Casa Pia to win on the moneyline, AVS -0 spread, under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1
This Pick Releases in 62 Minutes!
Unlock NOW by Sharing This Post!