Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-12
- Time: 11:46 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals host the Colorado Rockies in the second game of their series. Cardinals have a winning record (61-59) and better home form (35-25), while the Rockies are struggling at 30-88 overall and on an eight-game losing streak. Both teams start left-handed pitchers: Matthew Liberatore for St. Louis and Kyle Freeland for Colorado.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cardinals are in better form recently, winning 4 of their last 5 games and holding a solid home record. Rockies are the worst MLB team this season with a 30-88 record and have lost 8 straight games, including a 3-2 loss to the Cardinals in the last meeting.
- Recent head-to-head favors the Cardinals with a 1-0 lead in this series and Kyle Freeland having a high ERA (5.74) and losing record (0-1) against the Cardinals in last five starts.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting the starting pitchers or key hitters.
- Game played at Busch Stadium benefits the Cardinals due to their strong home performance and Rockies' poor away form. Weather or other environmental factors were not noted as significant.
- Cardinals are motivated to build momentum as they chase the NL wild card spot, while Rockies are demoralized on an 8-game losing streak with the worst record in MLB.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cardinals -205, Rockies +172 | Cardinals | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Cardinals -1.5 -104, Rockies +1.5 -115 | Cardinals -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105 | Under 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals win outright, cover the -1.5 run line, and the total runs scored will go under 8.5.
Predicted Score: Cardinals 4 – Rockies 2