Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Estudiantes La Plata - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: General Pablo Rojas, Asunción
Game Overview
Cerro Porteño will host Estudiantes La Plata in the first leg of the 2026 CONMEBOL Libertadores last-16 tie. Both sides have been performing well domestically, with Cerro Porteño showing strong home form and Estudiantes carrying momentum from group stage success.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cerro Porteño have won 6 and drawn 2 of their last 8 matches with a potent attack, scoring 19 goals recently. They advanced from a challenging group despite a heavy 4-0 loss to Bolivar. Estudiantes won 4 of 6 group matches, scoring an average of nearly 2 goals per game, and have won their last 3 domestic matches, indicating good form.
- Their last two meetings ended in 0-0 draws. Historically, both sides have been evenly matched in recent encounters.
- No critical injuries reported for either team ahead of the match.
- Match to be played at Cerro Porteño's home ground, giving them a strong home advantage. Both teams motivated for the Libertadores knockout phase with no significant adverse weather or travel issues.
- Both teams eager to set the tone in the first leg; Cerro Porteño looking to capitalize on home advantage, while Estudiantes aims to continue their group stage momentum and carry confidence from recent victories.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cerro Porteño: 1.7, Estudiantes La Plata: 1.9, Draw: 2 | Cerro Porteño | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Cerro Porteño: -128, Estudiantes La Plata: -102, line: 0 | Cerro Porteño 0 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: -112, Under: -118, line: 2 | Over 2 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cerro Porteño 22% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Cerro Porteño at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline pick: Cerro Porteño; Spread pick: Cerro Porteño 0; Over/Under pick: Over 2 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1
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