Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Troy Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: UB Stadium
Game Overview
The Buffalo Bulls host the Troy Trojans on September 20, 2025, at UB Stadium with Buffalo currently holding a 2-1 record to Troy’s 1-2 this season. Buffalo is favored to win both on the moneyline and against the spread in this midweek game with a total points line set at 42.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Buffalo has shown stronger recent form with a 2-1 record overall and against the spread, including consistent offensive output leading to 2 of their last 3 games going over the total. Troy, with a 1-2 record, has struggled comparatively and faces the challenge of playing on the road.
- There is limited direct recent head-to-head data available from the sources, but Buffalo has the edge in current season performance and betting trends.
- No significant injuries reported impacting key players for either team as of current information.
- The venue is Buffalo's home stadium, which is favorable to Buffalo given home advantage. Weather and other external conditions are not indicated as major factors.
- Buffalo, with better season momentum and a home crowd, is likely more motivated to continue their positive start to the season. Troy may be motivated to upset but faces the challenge of travel and recent form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Bulls: -238, Troy Trojans: 195 | Buffalo Bulls | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Buffalo Bulls: -6.5 -110, Troy Trojans: +6.5 -110 | Buffalo Bulls -6.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 42.5 -110, Under: 42.5 -110 | Under 42.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Bulls -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 42.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Buffalo Bulls are predicted to win decisively by covering the -6.5 spread with a final score leaning strongly in their favor. The game total is expected to finish under or roughly around the 42.5 points line considering Troy’s underwhelming offense.
Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 28 – 14 Troy Trojans