Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Benfica – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal
Game Overview
This Portuguese Primeira Liga fixture features AVS Futebol SAD hosting Benfica at Estadio do CD das Aves. Benfica enters as heavy favorites given their superior squad quality, recent form, and head-to-head dominance, while AVS Futebol SAD looks to capitalize on home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Benfica has a strong recent performance trend with multiple wins against AVS and solid league results, whereas AVS Futebol SAD has struggled with zero wins against Benfica in their last meetings, with Benfica winning 3 and one draw recorded. Benfica’s attack averages over three goals per game in recent encounters against AVS.
- In the last 4 matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 times and drew once. The average total goals per match were approximately 4.3, with both teams scoring in 67% of these games.
- Benfica will be missing several key players due to injury including Alexander Bah, Amar Dedic, Bruma, Dodi Lukebakio, and Manu Silva, which could slightly impact squad depth. AVS Futebol SAD currently reports no unavailable players.
- The match being played at AVS’s home ground (Estadio do CD das Aves) could offer them some motivation and slight advantage, but Benfica's stronger squad and experience likely offset this.
- Benfica aims to continue their winning streak and maintain top league positioning, while AVS Futebol SAD is motivated to earn points against a top contender and utilize home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | AVS Futebol SAD: 1200, Benfica: -625, Draw: 700 | Benfica win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | AVS Futebol SAD +2: -112, Benfica -2: -108 | Benfica -2 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -110, Under 3: -110 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Benfica -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Benfica is predicted to win this fixture given their historical dominance over AVS Futebol SAD, more consistent recent form, and overall squad superiority despite injuries. The predicted scoreline is a controlled Benfica victory without significant upset.
Predicted Score: 0-3