Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs UAB Blazers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee
Game Overview
The Tennessee Volunteers (2-1) will host the UAB Blazers (2-1) at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee is a strong SEC contender coming off a close overtime loss to Georgia, demonstrating high offensive capabilities. UAB, meanwhile, is an underdog expected to face a challenging matchup but may capitalize on Tennessee's possible slow start after a tough emotional loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee has shown high-scoring potential, averaging over 40 points and maintaining a 3-0 record against the spread recently. UAB has a balanced 2-1 record but is expected to struggle against Tennessee's offense.
- Recent data on head-to-head matchups is limited; however, Tennessee's dominance in spreads and moneyline odds shows a historical competitive edge against UAB.
- No significant injury reports affecting key starters for either team have been identified in the available data.
- The game will be played under favorable weather conditions: 82ยฐF, no rain, light wind. Tennessee may have motivation considerations with a tough upcoming road trip to Mississippi State.
- Tennessee looks to rebound from an emotionally tough overtime loss and maintain playoff hopes, but might rest starters or reduce aggression against UAB. UAB is motivated to keep the game competitive and possibly cover the spread.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tennessee: -8000, UAB: +1800, Draw: N/A | Tennessee to win | โ โ โ โ โ 95% |
| Spread | Tennessee: -38.5 (-115), UAB: +38.5 (-105) | UAB to cover the spread | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 69.5 (-105), Under: 69.5 (-115) | Under 69.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 69.5 12% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 69.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tennessee is highly favored to win decisively, but given the large spread of nearly 39.5 points and Tennessee's possible slow start, the Blazers have a realistic chance to cover the spread. The total points are likely to stay around the 69.5 mark, with a slight lean toward under due to Tennessee potentially managing the game pace.
Predicted Score: Tennessee Volunteers 42 – UAB Blazers 16