Match Analysis: Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-19
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough, England
Game Overview
Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion will face off in Round 6 of the 2025 EFL Championship at Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough currently sits 10th, West Brom 9th, making this a contest between closely ranked teams with recent competitive matches. Middlesbrough has won their last three meetings against West Brom and displays strong recent form with three clean sheets and eight goals in the last five games. West Brom has struggled slightly with a loss in their last match but remain competitive, particularly in chance creation and shots on target.
Key Factors to Consider
- Middlesbrough shows better recent form with no defeats in the last five matches (including wins over Sheffield United and Millwall) and a solid defense with three clean sheets. West Brom has mixed results with one loss and three draws in the last five games, but offensive metrics like big chances created by Michael Johnston and shots on target by Isaac Price indicate attacking potential.
- Middlesbrough has a dominant recent head-to-head record, winning the last three matches against West Bromwich Albion, including a 2-0 win on 21 Jan 2025 at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough has a few players sidelined including Alex Bangura (hamstring) and Riley McGree (muscle injury) expected back late September. West Brom has no major injury updates reported that would drastically affect the lineup.
- The match is played at Middlesbroughβs home ground, Riverside Stadium, offering home advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not reported as significant factors. Both teams are motivated to gain valuable Championship points early in the season.
- Middlesbrough aims to maintain momentum and continue their unbeaten run, leveraging their home advantage. West Brom looks to improve on their recent inconsistent results and recover from the last defeat, keeping pressure on Middlesbrough in the league table.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Middlesbrough: 1.14, West Bromwich Albion: 2.20, Draw: 2.25 | Middlesbrough Win | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Middlesbrough -0.25: -112, West Bromwich Albion +25: -108 | Middlesbrough -0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 1.02, Under 2.5: -1.22 | Under 2.5 Goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Middlesbrough -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -99% |
β οΈ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Considering Middlesbrough's superior recent form, home advantage, and head-to-head dominance, the prediction favors a Middlesbrough win with moderate confidence. The match should be competitive but with limited scoring due to solid defensive records.
Predicted Score: 1-0