Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Santa Clara – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Famalicão Home Stadium
Game Overview
A close matchup between mid-table Famalicão and higher-ranked Santa Clara in Portugal's Primeira Liga, with both teams showing solid but mixed recent form and a historically balanced head-to-head rivalry.
Key Factors to Consider
- Famalicão has a home advantage with a slightly better recent form marked by a longer unbeaten streak, while Santa Clara holds a higher league position (5th vs 9th), though both have comparable offensive and defensive stats.
- The teams are evenly matched historically with 18 meetings resulting in 8 wins for Famalicão, 9 wins for Santa Clara, and 1 draw. Matches tend to be competitive with average goals around 2.2 per game.
- No significant injury reports noted for either side impacting key players, supporting a full-strength lineup for both teams.
- No notable external factors such as travel fatigue or weather conditions are expected to materially affect the match outcome.
- Santa Clara’s higher league ranking and desire to maintain a top-table position offers them strong motivation, whereas Famalicão aims to capitalize on home support to disrupt.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Famalicão 1.39, Santa Clara 2.05, Draw 2.12 | Famalicão | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Famalicão -0.25 at 1.05, Santa Clara +25 at 80 | Famalicão -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2 at 1.82, Under 2 at 2.02 | Over 2 | ★★★☆☆ 59% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Famalicão 34% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Famalicão to win; Spread: Famalicão -0.25; Over/Under 2 goals: Over
Predicted Score: 2-1