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Michal Michalski vs. Andi Vrtacic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michal Michalski vs Andi Vrtacic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ATM Studio, Warsaw, Poland

Game Overview

Michal Michalski and Andi Vrtačić face off in a 3-round MMA bout at KSW 109. Michalski enters with a 12-5 record and recent strong form, while Vrtačić has a 6-2 record and is returning from a break, marking this as a key matchup on the card.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michalski shows consistent activity and solid recent performance, suggesting better fight rhythm. Vrtačić, while talented, has less recent fight volume and is coming off a hiatus which may impact sharpness.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts between the two fighters, so no direct comparative data exists.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter heading into the bout, indicating both are at full health.
  • The fight takes place in Warsaw, Poland, potentially giving Michalski a slight home crowd advantage.
  • Vrtačić appears motivated to return strongly to the spotlight after a break, while Michalski seeks to maintain momentum and improve his standing in KSW.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michal Michalski: -135, Andi Vrtacic: -105 Michal Michalski ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Michal Michalski -1.5 rounds: +120, Andi Vrtacic +1.5 rounds: -140 Michal Michalski -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michal Michalski 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michal Michalski at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michal Michalski to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Michal Michalski wins via decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Michal Michalski vs. Andi Vrtacic Prediction

Match Analysis: Michal Michalski vs Andi Vrtacic – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-09 Time: 4:00 AM UTC Location: ATM Studio, Warsaw, Poland Game Overview Michal Michalski and Andi Vrtačić face off in a 3-round MMA bout at KSW 109. Michalski enters with a 12-5 record and recent strong form, while Vrtačić has a 6-2 record […]

Andi Vrtacic August 9, 2025 Michal Michalski MMA/Boxing

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Lerone Murphy vs. Aaron Pico Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lerone Murphy vs Aaron Pico – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

Lerone Murphy faces UFC debutant Aaron Pico in a featherweight co-main event at UFC 319. Murphy is undefeated in the UFC with a strong striking and grappling profile, whereas Pico has high finishing ability but with prior career losses and no UFC experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Murphy is 8-0-1 in the UFC with high striking volume and accuracy, good takedown stats and defensive skills. Pico holds a 13-4 record but has not fought in UFC before and has shown vulnerability to being finished.
  • This will be their first meeting with no prior head-to-head results available.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Murphy's UFC experience and home advantage of fighting in Chicago (close to his training base) contrast with Pico’s UFC debut, potentially adding pressure.
  • Murphy aims to maintain his perfect UFC record and showcase consistency, while Pico is highly motivated to make a successful UFC debut, adding an element of unpredictability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aaron Pico -170, Lerone Murphy +142 Lerone Murphy ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Aaron Pico -3.5 120, Lerone Murphy +3.5 -165 Lerone Murphy +3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -215, Under 2.5 165 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aaron Pico 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 72%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lerone Murphy to win via decision

Predicted Score: Murphy wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Geoffrey Neal vs. Carlos Prates Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Geoffrey Neal vs Carlos Prates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

This welterweight fight features Geoffrey Neal (16-6) versus Carlos Prates (21-7) at UFC 319. Neal is a powerful, durable southpaw with a high volume striking rate and solid finishing ability. Prates is a longer reach, switch-hitter with slightly better strike accuracy and defense. Both fighters have susceptibility to damage, creating a high likelihood of an incomplete fight going under the total rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Neal lands significantly more strikes per minute (5.05) but also absorbs more (5.44), while Prates lands at a slightly lower rate (3.60) but defends fewer strikes.
  • No direct H2H records are available, but styles suggest Prates' reach and finishing instincts give him a tactical edge.
  • Neal has some recent injury concerns that may impair his defense and durability in early aggressive phases.
  • Bout held in Chicago's United Center with no major travel or environmental issues affecting either fighter.
  • Prates, at 31, is in prime form seeking to capitalize on his physical advantages, while Neal (34) looks to prove resilience despite injury setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Prates -245 / Neal +200 Carlos Prates ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Prates -3.5 -165 / Neal +3.5 120 Carlos Prates -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 +120 / Under 2.5 -154 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Prates -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Prates to win by stoppage under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Carlos Prates wins via TKO 2nd round


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Dricus Du Plessis vs. Khamzat Chimaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

UFC 319 main event middleweight title fight between champion Dricus Du Plessis and undefeated challenger Khamzat Chimaev, featuring two highly motivated strikers with contrasting styles and recent impressive form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Du Plessis holds a strong 23-2 professional MMA record with a championship reign, showcasing precision striking and resilience, while Chimaev remains undefeated at 14-0 with high output striking and aggressive grappling, though his path has been hampered by long layoffs and prior injuries.
  • No previous fights between Du Plessis and Chimaev; however, their recent respectful interaction indicates focus and readiness without distractions.
  • No current injuries reported for either fighter. Chimaev’s previous setbacks have not impacted his current training camp as per recent reports.
  • Fight takes place at United Center in Chicago, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters have strong fan support and media hype, potentially increasing pressure but also motivation.
  • High motivation from both; Du Plessis aiming to defend his title and solidify legacy, questioning Chimaev’s response to first loss; Chimaev eager to maintain undefeated record and claim championship, signaling confidence and aggressiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dricus Du Plessis: +205, Khamzat Chimaev: -250 Khamzat Chimaev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dricus Du Plessis +5.5: +130, Khamzat Chimaev -5.5: -180 Khamzat Chimaev -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Khamzat Chimaev -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Khamzat Chimaev wins on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Khamzat Chimaev wins via late stoppage (Round 3)


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Jared Cannonier vs. Michael Page Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jared Cannonier vs Michael Page – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event Venue (not specified)

Game Overview

Middleweight bout at UFC 319 featuring Jared Cannonier, the experienced 41-year-old gatekeeper known for power and durability vs Michael Page, a more youthful and dynamic striker with a rising profile in the middleweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cannonier holds an 18-8 record with 10 KOs and 3 submissions, recently struggling against top contenders. Page is 23-3 with 12 KOs and 4 submissions, showing an upward trajectory and a notable recent win after moving to middleweight.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between Cannonier and Page; styles contrast with Cannonier’s power and grit vs Page’s elusive striking.
  • No current injury reports or suspensions reported for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • The fight takes place as part of UFC 319 main card, adding pressure; 'Venom' Page has more to gain to enter title contention which may increase motivation.
  • Page is highly motivated to break into the title picture with a strong UFC performance; Cannonier fights to maintain relevance but has less title upside.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jared Cannonier +164, Michael Page -198 Michael Page ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Jared Cannonier +3.5 -165, Michael Page -3.5 120 Michael Page -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -270, Under 2.5 200 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Page -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 86%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 86% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Page by decision

Predicted Score: Michael Page wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Tim Elliott vs. Kai Asakura Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tim Elliott vs Kai Asakura – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

Flyweight bout at UFC 319 featuring Tim Elliott and Kai Asakura, both determined contenders with contrasting styles: Elliott known for his grappling and durability, Asakura for striking and finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kai Asakura enters with strong recent wins and momentum, showing powerful striking and solid conditioning, whereas Tim Elliott has had inconsistent form and a recent layoff due to undisclosed reasons.
  • No previous fights between these two competitors; this is their first matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, although Elliott's recent inactivity might suggest minor undisclosed issues.
  • Fight takes place in Chicago, a neutral venue with no apparent home advantage. Media and fan sentiment strongly favor Asakura.
  • Asakura is motivated to ascend in the flyweight rankings and prove dominance; Elliott seeks a comeback win to regain contender status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kai Asakura -325, Tim Elliott +260 Kai Asakura ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Kai Asakura -3.5 -150, Tim Elliott +3.5 +110 Kai Asakura -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -135, Under 2.5 +105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kai Asakura -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kai Asakura to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Kai Asakura wins by round 3 KO/TKO


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Baysangur Susurkaev vs. Eric Nolan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Baysangur Susurkaev vs Eric Nolan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

Baysangur Susurkaev, a fast-rising undefeated prospect (9-0), makes a record-setting fast UFC debut just 4 days after winning his contract with a first-round knockout. Eric Nolan (8-3), the CFFC middleweight champion on a 4-fight winning streak with 3 consecutive KOs, moves up from welterweight to middleweight for his UFC debut. Both fighters show knockout power, but Susurkaev's speed, reach advantage, and frantic recent activity mark him as a heavy favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Susurkaev is undefeated with 8 of 9 wins by knockout, mostly early finishes. Nolan is hot with 4 straight wins including 3 knockouts and holds a title in Cage Fury Fighting Championships.
  • No previous matchup between Susurkaev and Nolan; first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Susurkaev accepted the fight on just 4 days rest after Dana White’s Contender Series victory — fastest UFC debut turnaround in history — demonstrating high confidence and motivation. The fight takes place at UFC 319 in Chicago.
  • Susurkaev highly motivated to prove himself on short notice in UFC, supported by Dana White’s praise. Nolan motivated by UFC debut and moving up weight class, which may affect performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Susurkaev -1000, Nolan +675 Susurkaev ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Susurkaev -1.5 Susurkaev by more than 1.5 rounds (i.e., finishes early) ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 1.5 (+155), Under 1.5 (-195) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baysangur Susurkaev -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Susurkaev to win by first-round knockout

Predicted Score: Susurkaev wins by first-round knockout


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Gerald Meerschaert vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gerald Meerschaert vs Michal Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago, IL

Game Overview

The UFC 319 middleweight matchup between Gerald Meerschaert and Michal Oleksiejczuk features contrasting styles: Meerschaert is a veteran grappler known for submissions, while Oleksiejczuk is a powerful striker with knockout capability. Oleksiejczuk enters as a clear favorite based on betting odds and recent form, but Meerschaert's grappling threat and resilience keep the bout competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oleksiejczuk has demonstrated solid striking with several knockout wins and holds a UFC record of 8-7. Meerschaert, with a UFC record of 12-11, relies heavily on grappling and submissions and is known for durability and late-fight pressure.
  • No previous direct matchup between Meerschaert and Oleksiejczuk has occurred, making this an intriguing stylistic contrast without historical fight data.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both compete at full strength.
  • The fight takes place at United Center, Chicago, with no discernible external environmental factors likely to affect performance.
  • Oleksiejczuk appears motivated to maintain upward momentum and validate his favorite status, while Meerschaert is aiming to capitalize on grappling advantage to upset the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gerald Meerschaert: 195, Michal Oleksiejczuk: -238 Michal Oleksiejczuk ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Gerald Meerschaert +3.5: 130, Michal Oleksiejczuk -3.5: -180 Michal Oleksiejczuk -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5: 105, Under 1.5: -135 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michal Oleksiejczuk -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michal Oleksiejczuk to win by knockout or technical knockout within two rounds.

Predicted Score: Oleksiejczuk wins by KO/TKO round 2


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Jessica Andrade vs. Lupita Godinez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs Lupita Godinez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Strawweight Division Prelims Venue (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This UFC Strawweight bout features Jessica Andrade, a former title challenger known for her aggressive striking and finishing ability, against Lupita Godinez, a rising wrestling-focused grappler with a strong recent record and solid defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jessica Andrade holds a 26-14-0 record with 10 KOs and 8 submissions, known for her pressure and Muay Thai striking. Lupita Godinez is 13-5-0 with high striking accuracy (49%), superior takedown defense (81%), and back-to-back decision wins, showing strong wrestling and grappling control.
  • No prior direct matchups available between Andrade and Godinez to inform outcome.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • The fight is part of UFC 319 prelims with no significant external disruptions noted. Andrade's experience could benefit under pressure, while Godinez carries momentum from recent wins.
  • Andrade seeks to rebound and prove her veteran status against a top-15 opponent. Godinez aims to climb the rankings with her wrestling dominance and build on her recent win streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jessica Andrade: +125, Lupita Godinez: -145 Lupita Godinez ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Godinez -1.5 rounds: -130, Andrade +1.5 rounds: +110 Godinez -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -325, Under 2.5 rounds: +250 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lupita Godinez -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 110%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 110% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lupita Godinez to win by Decision

Predicted Score: Lupita Godinez wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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King Green vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: King Green vs Carlos Diego Ferreira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago, IL

Game Overview

King Green (32-17-1) and Carlos Diego Ferreira (19-6) face off in a lightweight MMA bout at UFC 319. Green is a veteran with strong striking accuracy and defense; Ferreira offers a slightly longer reach and has recently intensified training for this fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • King Green lands 6.40 significant strikes per min at 52% accuracy, conceding 3.72 strikes per min; Ferreira lands 4.82 strikes per min at 40% accuracy, conceding 3.46 strikes per min. Ferreira’s recent form includes a loss followed by focused training changes.
  • No previous recorded bouts between King Green and Diego Ferreira, making this a fresh matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the fight.
  • Fight takes place at United Center with strong fan interest; Ferreira relocated to Dallas for full-time training, indicating increased preparation.
  • Ferreira has long requested this fight and is motivated to deliver an exciting performance after relocating and improving training; Green seeks a comeback win to improve his veteran record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ferreira -155, Green +130 Carlos Diego Ferreira ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Ferreira -3.5 -110, Green +3.5 -120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 -215, Under 1.5 +165 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Diego Ferreira -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 67%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 67% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Carlos Diego Ferreira to win. Spread: Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5. Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Carlos Diego Ferreira wins by decision or late stoppage


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