Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-08
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Montreal Alouettes Home Stadium
Game Overview
The Montreal Alouettes host the Edmonton Elks in a CFL matchup where Montreal is a clear favorite based on recent performance and statistical trends.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montreal Alouettes have shown strong form with a projected points per game around 29.5 and a defensive ranking better than Edmonton’s. Edmonton Elks struggle offensively, averaging only 22.7 points per game while allowing 31.8 points, ranking near the bottom of the league.
- Recent head-to-head matchups favor Montreal decisively: their projected win percentage is over 75% against Edmonton in recent contests reflecting Edmonton's historically poor results here.
- No critical injuries reported for Montreal; Edmonton has some key offensive players questionable, further weakening their already anemic scoring ability.
- Game played at Montreal’s home stadium, favoring the Alouettes. Travel and weather conditions are standard and unlikely to impact play significantly.
- Montreal is looking to solidify playoff positioning and maintain momentum, while Edmonton is currently rebuilding and has little playoff hope, lowering motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Montreal -200, Edmonton +164 | Montreal Alouettes | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Montreal -4.5 (-105), Edmonton +4.5 (-115) | Montreal Alouettes -4.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 51.5 (-110), Under 51.5 (-110) | Under 51.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Montreal Alouettes -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montreal Alouettes to win outright; Cover the -4.5 point spread; Total score Under 51.5 points
Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 30 – Edmonton Elks 20