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Casa Pia vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon is the clear favorite away against Casa Pia, a team with a poor recent record. Sporting has been dominant historically and maintains a strong form, while Casa Pia has struggled both head-to-head and in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon has won 80% of their last 10 matches and remained unbeaten in 94% of their last 33 league games. Casa Pia has not won in 8 of their last 9 Primeira Liga matches.
  • In the last 7 encounters, Sporting Lisbon has won all 7 matches against Casa Pia with no draws or Casa Pia wins. Over 1.5 goals occurred in 100% of these meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported for either squad affecting key starters, maintaining standard lineup strength.
  • The match is played at Casa Pia's home ground, but given their poor home form and Sporting's strong away record, venue advantage is minimal.
  • Sporting Lisbon is motivated to continue their strong league start and extend their winning streak, while Casa Pia aims to avoid relegation struggles and secure points early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia 8.50, Sporting Lisbon -3.30, Draw 4.30 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 83%
Spread Casa Pia +1.5 -115, Sporting Lisbon -1.5 -105 Sporting Lisbon -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.75 -112, Under 2.75 -108 Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright (moneyline), covering the -1.5 spread, with an expectation of over 2.75 total goals scored.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Casa Pia vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-08 Time: 7:15 PM UTC Location: Estadio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal Game Overview Sporting Lisbon is the clear favorite away against Casa Pia, a team with a poor recent record. Sporting has been dominant historically and maintains a strong form, while Casa Pia […]

August 8, 2025 Casa Pia Soccer Sporting Lisbon

MORE FROM PRIMEIRA-LIGA

FC Porto vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-11
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts Vitória SC in a Portuguese Primeira Liga match featuring a historically dominant Porto side versus a struggling Vitória SC currently in relegation danger.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto currently ranks 9th and have a strong home record with potent scoring ability, averaging over 2 goals per game in H2H. Vitória SC ranks 18th, struggling at the bottom and averaging under 1 goal with defensive frailties.
  • Porto has won 40 out of the last 48 meetings, scoring 109 goals to Vitória's 27. Historically dominant with a consistent winning percentage at home against Vitória SC.
  • No specific injury data available from search results; assume normal squad availability for both teams with no significant absences reported.
  • Playing at home gives Porto a strong advantage; Vitória SC faces relegation pressure but no travel fatigue or adverse conditions reported.
  • Porto likely motivated to secure early points and improve league position, while Vitória SC is under pressure to avoid relegation, potentially playing more cautiously.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Porto -179, Vitória SC 450, Draw 295 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread FC Porto -1 (-102), Vitória SC +1 (-118) FC Porto -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-120), Under 2.5 (100) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Porto's dominant historical record, stronger squad, and home advantage, backing FC Porto to win straight on the moneyline offers the highest expected value.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Estoril vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-11
  • Time: 5:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, Portugal

Game Overview

Estoril hosts Estrela Amadora in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga opener, with Estoril favored due to stronger recent form and dominant past H2H results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril finished last season strong and has won their last two encounters against Estrela decisively (4-0). They showed a solid mixed record in final pre-season matches. Estrela, conversely, struggled with form and offensive output, losing 4 out of 5 recent matches and scoring sparsely away last season.
  • Estoril dominated recent encounters, including a 4-0 win in the last meeting, indicating a psychological and tactical edge over Estrela Amadora.
  • No critical injury data reported; key players appear available for Estoril. No significant absences reported for Estrela.
  • The match is at Estoril's home ground, which has been a fortress for them and favors the home team advantage. No notable external disruptions or conditions.
  • Estoril seeks to continue their momentum into the new season, while Estrela aims to recover confidence after poor recent form and needs to improve their away struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Estoril -115, Draw 250, Estrela 310 Estoril ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Estoril -0.5 -115, Estrela +50 -105 Estoril -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 -125, Under 2.25 105 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estoril to win; Spread -0.5 for Estoril; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Moreirense FC vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Game Overview

This match features Moreirense FC hosting Alverca in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Moreirense have slightly weaker recent home form compared to Alverca's notable away form. Odds favor Moreirense but the visiting side has shown good away results. Expect a competitive match influenced by early-season form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense FC have a home win probability around 42%, but recent home performances show only a 20-40% form rate. Alverca's recent away form is stronger with approximately 60% form figures, indicating they travel well.
  • Recent data is very limited with no detailed head-to-head stats available, suggesting this matchup may be infrequent or recently elevated to the top division.
  • No current reports of significant injuries or suspensions for either side have been found, indicating both teams are likely at near full strength.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel strain detected. The match is early in the season and at a neutral time of year with no known disruptions.
  • Both teams seek strong starts; Moreirense have home advantage and will aim to assert dominance in front of their fans, while Alverca aims to capitalize on their good away performances and secure points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Moreirense FC: 1.11, Draw: 1.95, Alverca: 3 Moreirense FC ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Moreirense FC -0.25: -125, Alverca +25: 105 Moreirense FC -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moreirense FC to win on the moneyline, -0.25 on the spread for Moreirense, and under 2.25 goals for over/under.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Braga vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Braga vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga

Game Overview

Opening match of the 2025-26 Portuguese Primeira Liga season, Braga hosts Tondela. Braga is a strong favorite given their dominant historical record and current strong form. Tondela has shown fighting spirit but historically struggles against Braga.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has won 4 of their last 5 matches and all 5 pre-season games, indicating strong momentum. Tondela showed some confidence with an away win in pre-season but has weaker league form historically.
  • In 16 meetings, Braga has won 13, Tondela 2, with one draw. The last league meeting in 2022 ended in a 1-0 Braga win. Braga dominates defensively and offensively in these matchups.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side that would impact starting lineups or key players.
  • Match played at Braga's home stadium, a venue where Braga has strong home records (only 3 losses in last 17 home league matches). Season opener motivation high for Braga to establish dominance early.
  • Braga aims to start the season strongly after good pre-season and Champions League qualifiers. Tondela seeks to build on pre-season confidence but faces a tough away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -285, Tondela: 750, Draw: 390 Braga ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Braga -1.25: -118, Tondela +1.25: -102 Braga -1.25 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win straight up; favoring a clear home victory with a margin given their strong historical dominance, home advantage, and form.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Famalicão vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Famalicão Home Stadium

Game Overview

A close matchup between mid-table Famalicão and higher-ranked Santa Clara in Portugal's Primeira Liga, with both teams showing solid but mixed recent form and a historically balanced head-to-head rivalry.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão has a home advantage with a slightly better recent form marked by a longer unbeaten streak, while Santa Clara holds a higher league position (5th vs 9th), though both have comparable offensive and defensive stats.
  • The teams are evenly matched historically with 18 meetings resulting in 8 wins for Famalicão, 9 wins for Santa Clara, and 1 draw. Matches tend to be competitive with average goals around 2.2 per game.
  • No significant injury reports noted for either side impacting key players, supporting a full-strength lineup for both teams.
  • No notable external factors such as travel fatigue or weather conditions are expected to materially affect the match outcome.
  • Santa Clara’s higher league ranking and desire to maintain a top-table position offers them strong motivation, whereas Famalicão aims to capitalize on home support to disrupt.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão 1.39, Santa Clara 2.05, Draw 2.12 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Famalicão -0.25 at 1.05, Santa Clara +25 at 80 Famalicão -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2 at 1.82, Under 2 at 2.02 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Famalicão to win; Spread: Famalicão -0.25; Over/Under 2 goals: Over

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Arouca vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Arouca vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arouca Home Stadium

Game Overview

This is an early season match in the Portugal Primeira Liga between Arouca, the home side, and newly promoted or lower table side AVS Futebol SAD. Both teams have shown relatively weak offensive production recently but Arouca carries a moderate home advantage and better historical results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a somewhat stronger recent form with more home wins, though scoring under 1.5 goals is common for them; AVS Futebol SAD has failed to win in 23 of their last 27 league games and frequently scores fewer than 1.5 goals.
  • Previous encounters favor Arouca slightly with historically better results and home advantage; Draw outcomes are relatively common based on close percentages but Arouca edges the likelihood to win at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would critically impact starting lineups or tactics.
  • No major external factors such as weather, travel fatigue, or schedule congestion appear relevant for this fixture.
  • Arouca is motivated to start the season strongly on home soil; AVS Futebol SAD may struggle with confidence given recent poor results but will seek an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: -121, AVS Futebol SAD: 335, Draw: 250 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Arouca -0.5: -120, AVS Futebol SAD +50: 100 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: 102 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca to win on the moneyline, with a confident expectation of a low-scoring game under 2.5 total goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nacional vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

The opening match of the Portugal Primeira Liga season pits CD Nacional against Gil Vicente, two teams aiming to start the campaign strong following mixed previous seasons. Nacional hosts Gil Vicente in a fixture expected to be competitive, with both teams showing motivation to improve early form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have had challenging recent seasons, with Nacional showing slight home advantage historically. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities but possess attacking potential.
  • Historically, matches between Nacional and Gil Vicente have been tightly contested with balanced outcomes. No dominant trend favors either side decisively.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team, suggesting both squads will likely field close to their full strengths.
  • Playing at Estadio da Madeira provides Nacional some home advantage amid their motivation to claim early points. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • Both clubs show strong motivation as they open the season, with Nacional keen to leverage home advantage and Gil Vicente looking to build on recent progress.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional 1.48, Gil Vicente 1.93, Draw 2.15 Nacional ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Nacional 0 -130, Gil Vicente 0 +110 Nacional 0 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 -115, Under 2.25 -105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nacional at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Home win (Nacional), Spread: Nacional 0 -130, Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Vizela vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vizela vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Futebol Clube de Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Game Overview

Vizela faces AVS Futebol SAD in a crucial Primeira Liga playoff fixture. AVS won the previous encounter 3-0, but Vizela has a strong home record, undefeated in their last 13 home matches. Vizela averages 1.56 goals per home match, while AVS averages just 0.81 goals away. Both teams are motivated to secure promotion, but Vizela’s recent form and home edge provide hope for a comeback.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vizela’s recent performance at home is outstanding (13 matches unbeaten), while AVS’s away performance is weaker (0.81 goals scored per match away). Vizela wins 33% of halftimes at home; AVS only 5%.
  • Recent head-to-head favors AVS, who won the last meeting 3-0. However, Vizela is historically strong at home in this fixture.
  • No significant injury reports available at this time.
  • Match is a playoff with high stakes for promotion. Playing at home gives Vizela an important crowd advantage. The pressure is higher on AVS to protect their aggregate lead.
  • Both teams are highly motivated for promotion. AVS wants to maintain their aggregate advantage; Vizela is focused on reversing the deficit at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vizela: 115, AVS Futebol SAD: 240, Draw: 225 Vizela to win Moderate-High (68%)
Spread Vizela -0.25: -118, AVS +25: -102 Vizela to cover -0.25 Moderate (63%)
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 goals Moderate (65%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vizela -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -100%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Vizela is expected to win at home, but AVS is likely to defend their aggregate advantage fiercely. The match will be tight and low-scoring, but Vizela’s home record and motivation for a comeback give them a slight edge for a single-game win, though overturning the aggregate deficit is unlikely.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Vizela)


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Vizela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Vizela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, PRT

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD is facing Vizela in the Portuguese Primeira Liga promotion/relegation playoffs. The match is crucial for both teams as they fight to maintain their position or gain promotion. The historical data and recent performances will play a significant role in determining the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS Futebol SAD scores an average of 0.83 goals at home, while Vizela averages 1.4 goals away. Vizela's stronger away record could give them an edge.
  • AVS Futebol SAD has won 1-0 in their last head-to-head match against Vizela.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • The match being part of the promotion/relegation playoffs adds significant pressure and motivation for both teams.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, but Vizela's recent form and away record suggest they might have an advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS: 150, Vizela: 180, Draw: 220 Draw or Vizela ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread AVS: 0 -122, Vizela: 0 102 Vizela to win or draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vizela 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vizela at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the data, Vizela might have a slight edge due to their away performance, but AVS Futebol SAD's home win in their last meeting could boost their confidence.

Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 1-1 Vizela


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