Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-06
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The Toronto Blue Jays are favored to win against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field, continuing their excellent form in this series with a 2-0 lead. Starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman for the Blue Jays and Kyle Freeland for the Rockies.
Key Factors to Consider
- Blue Jays hold a strong position with a 62% win probability and solid recent form, while the Rockies are struggling with a 30-83 season record and 16-41 at home, including a recent heavy 4-10 loss to the Blue Jays. Rockies pitching has been weak with a 5.88 ERA.
- Blue Jays lead the series 2-0. Historical and recent matchups favor Toronto, especially with momentum and pitching matchups.
- No major injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key hitters for either side.
- Game played at Coors Field, a hitter-friendly park which can inflate scoring, though Rockies’ pitching struggles offset their home advantage.
- Blue Jays motivated to close out the series with a sweep and maintain divisional pressure, Rockies fighting to salvage pride but hampered by poor season record and form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Colorado Rockies +176, Toronto Blue Jays -210 | Toronto Blue Jays | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | Colorado Rockies +1.5 (126), Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-152) | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Over/under | Over 11.5 (-110), Under 11.5 (-110) | Under 11.5 | ★★★☆☆ 53% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 11.5 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 11.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays to win outright (Moneyline), cover the -1.5 run line, and the total runs scored to go under 11.5.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 7 – Colorado Rockies 3