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Next: Melbourne Storm vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction (August 7, 2025, 9:50 am) in 1814 minutes - Unlock Now

Melbourne Storm vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-07
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

This NRL Round 23 matchup features the Melbourne Storm hosting the Brisbane Broncos at AAMI Park. Melbourne enters as strong favorites based on form, head-to-head data, and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has demonstrated strong performance recently, leveraging home advantage and consistent form. Brisbane Broncos have struggled for consistency and are underdogs with recent losses.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm holds an advantage over Brisbane Broncos, winning about 67% of matches based on simulations of 10,000 games. Recent encounters also favor Melbourne, including a close encounter earlier in 2025.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that would significantly impact the outcome. Both teams expected to field near full-strength lineups.
  • Playing at home in Melbourne provides Storm with a familiar environment and crowd support, which historically boosts their win probability.
  • As the season progresses towards finals, Storm's motivation to secure a top ladder position appears higher than the Broncos, who have less to play for currently.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -210, Brisbane Broncos +176, Draw 2100 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Storm -6.5 (-115), Broncos +6.5 (-115) Melbourne Storm -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win straight up

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24 - 16 Brisbane Broncos

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Melbourne Storm vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction

Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-07 Time: 9:50 AM UTC Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne, Australia Game Overview This NRL Round 23 matchup features the Melbourne Storm hosting the Brisbane Broncos at AAMI Park. Melbourne enters as strong favorites based on form, head-to-head data, and home advantage. Key Factors […]

August 7, 2025 Brisbane Broncos Melbourne Storm Rugbyleague

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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the North Queensland Cowboys in an important Round 22 NRL clash. The Sharks are strong favourites, aiming for a fourth straight win and solidifying their top-eight position, while the Cowboys are desperate to keep their faint finals hopes alive with a favourable run home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have been showing consistent form recently, with three consecutive wins including a narrow 14-12 victory over the Rabbitohs. The Cowboys managed a high-scoring 38-32 win over the Dragons but continue to suffer from the league's worst defense.
  • The Sharks have a strong historical advantage and recent dominance against the Cowboys, including a comprehensive 36-12 win earlier in 2025. Simulations predict an 80% chance of Sharks winning this match.
  • The Cowboys are missing key five-eighth Tom Duffy due to injury, replaced by Jake Clifford. Suspended forward Karl Lawton is also out; Emarly Bitungane debuts. Sharks have key players Briton Nikora and Siosifa Talakai returning, strengthening their pack.
  • The match is at Shark Park, giving the Sharks home-ground advantage. The Sharks are motivated to maintain top-eight positioning; the Cowboys are motivated to spark a late-season finals charge.
  • Cronulla is motivated to continue their winning streak for finals security; the Cowboys must win to keep playoff hopes alive, adding urgency to their play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -240, away: 205, draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread home: -110, away: -120 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Over 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win straight up, cover the -8.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: 28-18 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Wests Tigers vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers face the Canterbury Bulldogs in NRL Round 22 with the Bulldogs heavily favored to continue their winning form and secure a finals berth, while the Tigers struggle for form but have some key players returning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have won back-to-back matches convincingly, including a dominant 44-12 win over Manly, propelled by the dynamic halfback Lachlan Galvin. The Tigers were recently humbled 36-2 by Penrith and have struggled to gain momentum this season.
  • Recent simulations assign the Bulldogs an 81% chance to win against the Tigers, signaling clear dominance in this matchup historically and currently.
  • The Tigers welcome back star fullback Jahream Bula and add Samuela Fainu to bolster their pack, while the Bulldogs will replace injured Connor Tracey with Jacob Kiraz at fullback but have Jethro Rinakama returning on the wing.
  • The match is played at CommBank Stadium, which is neutral but closer to Bulldogs territory; weather and other external conditions are not expected to adversely affect either side.
  • With finals contention on the line, the Bulldogs are highly motivated to maintain form and secure a win. The Tigers, while struggling, have motivation from returning players and will look to spoil the Bulldogs’ campaign.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -360, Wests Tigers +285, Draw +2400 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Bulldogs -11.5 (-115), Tigers +11.5 (-115) Canterbury Bulldogs -11.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 43.5 (-115), Under 43.5 (-115) Over 43.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 43.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 43.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win straight up, cover the -11.5 point spread, and the match to go over 43.5 points.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 30 – 12 Wests Tigers


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland, Manly

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the Sydney Roosters in a critical NRL Round 22 clash, with both teams pushing for finals positioning late in the season. Manly enters with home advantage and favorable recent form against the Roosters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have shown consistent and strong form this season, with a 59% win probability in simulations against the Roosters and a slight edge in scoring ability. The Roosters have been competitive but less consistent lately.
  • Recent head-to-head data and simulations indicate Manly edges the Roosters with a 59% win probability. The Sea Eagles have also demonstrated the ability to cover a -2.5 spread, reflecting close but controlled victories.
  • No significant injury news indicating absence of key players on either side, maintaining full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Lottoland offers Manly home ground advantage. The weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for the season, not favoring either team significantly.
  • Manly is highly motivated to consolidate their finals spot, while Roosters are fighting hard to remain relevant, but slightly less consistent form suggests lower motivation effectiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -134, away: 115, draw: 2100 Home ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -110, away: -120, spread_points: 2.5 Home -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 110, under: -145, total_points: 48.5 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 1220%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 1220% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total points to stay under 48.5.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – Sydney Roosters 18


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders enter this match as strong favorites against the St George Illawarra Dragons, playing at home after a run of dominant performances, while the Dragons are struggling with injuries and inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders are on a six-game winning streak at home, averaging 32 points per game. The Dragons have had recent struggles with form and injuries, returning to winning only recently and facing a tougher lineup disruption.
  • Raiders have won the last four encounters against the Dragons and are unbeaten at Canberra since 2015, demonstrating clear dominance in recent meetings.
  • St George Illawarra is impacted by multiple injuries and Origin call-ups, notably missing key players like Valentine Holmes and Nathan Lawson. Canberra has some lineup changes but retains a settled spine and welcomes back Hudson Young.
  • Playing at home in front of a supportive crowd enhances Canberra's advantage. Weather or other conditions not noted as significant.
  • Raiders aim to consolidate their top-of-the-table position and extend their winning streak, while Dragons are motivated to break their losing streak but face a challenging environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -218, St George Illawarra Dragons 185, Draw 2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Canberra Raiders -6.5 (-115), St George Illawarra Dragons +6.5 (-115) Canberra Raiders -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-105), Under 46.5 (-125) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Canberra’s strong form, home advantage, head-to-head dominance, and the Dragons’ injury setbacks, the Raiders are favored to win comfortably and cover a moderate spread.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 14


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers enter this Round 22 clash as clear favorites with strong recent form, whereas the Gold Coast Titans struggle near the bottom of the ladder despite a recent morale-boosting win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panthers have a 7-game winning streak and sit 5th on the ladder with a 10-7 record, showing strong defense and consistent winning form. Titans are 16th with 5-13, having won only 1 of their last 5 games.
  • In the last 10 matchups, the Panthers dominate with a 9-1 record against the Titans, reinforcing historical superiority.
  • No critical injury updates reported for either side, so full-strength lineups are expected.
  • Match played at Titans' home ground, but their home form is weak (2-6), while Panthers have a decent away record (4-3). Weather and other external factors appear neutral.
  • Panthers are pushing for a top-4 finals spot, adding motivation. Titans are fighting form and position but with low morale overall.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 3.25, away: 1.23, draw: 25 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread home +12.5: 1.87, away -12.5: 1.87 Penrith Panthers -12.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over 46.5: 1.87, under 46.5: 1.87 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Penrith Panthers will win comfortably, covering the spread and with the total match points expected to stay under 46.5 given the defensive strength and form.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – 14 Gold Coast Titans


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Brisbane Broncos vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos enter as significant favorites hosting the South Sydney Rabbitohs, who have struggled on the road. Brisbane showcases superior recent form, a stronger attack and defense, and benefits from strong home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane is in peak form, ranked 5th in power rankings versus South Sydney's 17th, with an attack advantage of 8.7 points per game and very solid defensive metrics. The Rabbitohs have continued to struggle away from home.
  • Historical data favors Brisbane strongly: out of 50 matches, Broncos won 33, including 19 at home. At Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane won 14 of 21 meetings against South Sydney with a 487–436 points edge.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side that would significantly change team strength; Broncos maintain a near full-strength squad boosting their dominance.
  • The hostile atmosphere at Suncorp Stadium and Friday night timing favors Brisbane, who historically thrive in this environment. South Sydney travel fatigue and poor away record create a challenging scenario for them.
  • Brisbane is motivated to secure a commanding win to consolidate playoff positioning, while South Sydney faces pressure to break a poor away streak and salvage confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -675, South Sydney Rabbitohs +460, Draw +2800 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -16.5 (-110), South Sydney Rabbitohs +16.5 (-120) Brisbane Broncos -16.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-115), Under 49.5 (-115) Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos will win outright with a strong defensive performance keeping the total score under 49.5 points.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors host the Dolphins in a crucial NRL Round 22 clash where the Dolphins are slight favorites based on predictive analytics despite the Warriors holding home ground advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have demonstrated superior recent form with several high-scoring wins, including 43-24 over Cowboys and 50-28 over Rabbitohs, while the Warriors have mixed results recently including a loss to Titans and narrow wins in some matches.
  • Limited history between the teams with no clear dominance; previous meetings have been close contests with recent matches evenly split.
  • No specific major injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team in the available data, suggesting key players should be available for both sides.
  • Playing at Go Media Stadium benefits the Warriors due to strong home support, but Dolphins have shown resilience on the road and in challenging environments.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure finals positions; Warriors aiming to maintain a higher ladder position, Dolphins pushing hard to climb into the Top 8.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -138, Warriors: 120, Draw: 2000 Dolphins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dolphins -1.5: -135, Warriors +1.5: 105 Dolphins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dolphins at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

For moneyline, bet on Dolphins to win given better form and statistical edge. For spread, Dolphins -1.5 is favored due to momentum and more reliable attack. For total points, expect over 45.5 as both teams possess firepower and history of high scoring.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 26 – Warriors 20


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Parramatta Eels vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-31
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

Melbourne Storm enter as heavy favorites against Parramatta Eels in this Round 22 NRL clash, with superior form, defense, and road performance giving them the edge. Parramatta's inconsistency at home and Melbourne's championship momentum are key elements.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm rank #1 in power rankings with dominant recent form and are averaging a 12.9 point advantage per game over Parramatta, who rank 14th and have struggled for consistent home form.
  • Recent head-to-head results strongly favor Melbourne Storm, who typically control the match tempo and defensive battles against the Eels.
  • No critically impactful injuries reported for either side affecting primary starters, maintaining Melbourne's strong lineup.
  • Match played at Parramatta's home ground, which has been a weak fortress this season, limiting effective home advantage; weather and other external conditions are neutral.
  • Melbourne Storm are motivated to maintain top premiership momentum going into September finals push; Parramatta seek upset but motivation is offset by form gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -345, Parramatta Eels: +245 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Melbourne Storm -10.5: -115, Parramatta Eels +10.5: -115 Melbourne Storm -10.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115 Under 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win comfortably, covering the -10.5 spread, with total points likely under the 48.5 line due to Storm's defensive control and moderate scoring pace.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Parramatta Eels 12


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in a pivotal NRL Round 21 clash. The Bulldogs are slight favorites given their recent form and head-to-head dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have demonstrated stronger recent form and are projected with a 66% win probability by advanced simulations. Manly has struggled against them historically this season.
  • Canterbury leads the season series with 3 wins to Manly's 1. The Bulldogs won close encounters recently, showing competitive edge at home.
  • No significant injury reports currently affecting key players for either side, suggesting both teams at near full strength.
  • Playing at Stadium Australia favors Canterbury due to familiar conditions and crowd support; no notable weather issues expected.
  • Canterbury needs a win to consolidate playoff positioning, boosting motivation; Manly is fighting for points but has less favorable outlook given recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -162, Manly Sea Eagles: 143, Draw: 2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -4.5: -105, Manly Sea Eagles +4.5: -125 Canterbury Bulldogs -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 43.5: -115, Under 43.5: -115 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win outright

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 24 – 18 Manly Sea Eagles


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