Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-03
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies host the Detroit Tigers in a key MLB matchup as both teams vie to improve their divisional standings. Phillies hold a 62-48 record and have been stronger at home, while Tigers are 65-47 coming off a recent 7-5 win over the Phillies.
Key Factors to Consider
- Phillies are 5-5 over the last 10 games, averaging 5.7 runs scored and 5.2 allowed. Tigers are solid overall at 65-47 and just took a win in their last meeting. Phillies have shown inconsistency lately, but possess a strong bullpen and advantage starting Cristopher Sanchez.
- Tigers won the last meeting 7-5. Historically, Phillies lead with 11 recent head-to-head wins (6 at home), Tigers have 7 wins (4 on road). Both teams average about 3.8 (home) and 3.3 (visitor) runs per game in these matchups.
- No major injuries reported impacting key starters or lineup for either team in this game.
- The game is at Phillies' home park, Citizens Bank Park, favoring home team performance. No adverse weather or unusual travel schedules noted.
- Phillies need a home win before an upcoming road series; Tigers look to continue momentum after recent victory and improve divisional positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Phillies -196 / Tigers +164 | Philadelphia Phillies | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Phillies -1.5 (108) / Tigers +1.5 (-130) | Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 8 (-118) / Under 8 (-104) | Under 8 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win straight up and cover the spread, with game total finishing under 8.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Phillies 5 – Tigers 3