Match Analysis: Strasbourg vs Le Havre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de la Meinau
Game Overview
Strasbourg hosts Le Havre in a Ligue 1 fixture with Strasbourg showing stronger recent performance and superior home form, while Le Havre has struggled away with poor form. Previous head-to-head results favor Strasbourg, especially at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Strasbourg has a mixed Ligue 1 form but is strong at home with 10 wins from 16 home games overall; Le Havre is underperforming in Ligue 1 with only 6 away wins in total. Strasbourgβs defense is tighter on home soil, conceding fewer goals than Le Havre.
- In the past 11 meetings, Strasbourg won 6 times, Le Havre 3 times, with 2 draws. At Strasbourg's home ground, Strasbourg won 6 out of 10 encounters, with a scoring average of 1.5 goals per game and conceding 1 goal per game, illustrating dominance in direct matchups.
- No specific injury data available from the sources, but the lack of injury reports favors both sides being close to full strength.
- The match is played at Strasbourgβs home stadium, Stade de la Meinau, providing them home advantage. Current date and time indicate normal conditions with no indications of weather or external disruptions.
- Strasbourgβs superior league standing (6th) and recent results provide motivation to maintain momentum; Le Havreβs lower position (11th) and poor away form may pressure them to secure points but also reflects inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Le Havre: 3.95, Strasbourg: -1.63, Draw: 3.15 | Strasbourg to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Le Havre +75: 1.05, Strasbourg -0.75: 1.25 | Strasbourg -0.75 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: 1, Under 2.75: 1.2 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Strasbourg -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Strasbourg is predicted to win the match given their superior form, home advantage, and favorable head-to-head statistics against Le Havre.
Predicted Score: 2-1