Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Duke Blue Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, Louisiana
Game Overview
The Tulane Green Wave (2-0) host the Duke Blue Devils (1-1) in a closely matched NCAA football contest. Tulane enters undefeated but with questions around consistency, recently escaping a tight win against South Alabama. Duke has shown offensive talent, particularly in passing, but suffered a heavy loss to Illinois last week. This will be a competitive game with a likely narrow margin.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane has started strong but showed vulnerability on defense and reliance on turnovers to win. Duke's offense, led by QB Darian Mensah with a 73.5% completion rate and 5 touchdowns, is capable, but their defense has been leaky, allowing 31 points and 347 yards per game. Duke's running game averages 120.5 yards per game. Tulane's recent games show tight scoring and reliance on game management.
- Recent direct head-to-head data is limited, but Tulane is favored slightly at home with a spread around 1.5 points, reflecting balanced historical competitiveness.
- No specific injury data provided in the search results; assume normal status with no major absences reported.
- Game played at Yulman Stadium, Tulane's home field, with favorable weather (83ยฐF, no rain, light wind). This could slightly favor Tulane. Broadcaster ESPN2 coverage ensures extensive attention.
- Tulane seeks to maintain a perfect record and impress at home early in the season. Duke aims to rebound strongly from their recent lose and prove competitiveness against a ranked opponent, adding motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Duke Blue Devils: -115, Tulane Green Wave: -105 | Tulane Green Wave | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Spread | Duke Blue Devils: -1.5 -105, Tulane Green Wave: 1.5 -115 | Tulane Green Wave -1.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 54.5 -115, Under: 54.5 -105 | Over 54.5 | โ โ โ โโ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 54.5 1% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Tulane Green Wave at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane is predicted to win narrowly thanks to home advantage, slightly better recent form, and defensive resolve in a competitive low-to-mid 50s scoring game. Dukeโs capable offense keeps it close.
Predicted Score: Tulane 31, Duke 27