Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, USA
Game Overview
FC Cincinnati will host Nashville SC at TQL Stadium in Cincinnati for an MLS regular season match on September 13, 2025. Both teams are highly competitive this season, with FC Cincinnati currently ranked 2nd and Nashville SC 4th in the standings. The match promises to be tightly contested given recent form and close league positions.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Cincinnati has a strong home record and ranks 2nd overall with 52 points from 29 matches (16-4-9). Nashville SC is close behind with 50 points (15-5-9). Both teams have consistent attacking threats such as Nashville's Surridge (20 goals) and Mukhtar (14 goals and 11 assists), while Cincinnati relies on a balanced team effort. Recent matches indicate tight competition with neither side dominant in past encounters this season.
- The teams have met once this MLS season and twice last season, showing competitive balance. Historically, the outcomes have been fairly even, with no team able to consistently dominate the other. This rivalryβs close results suggest another close match is likely.
- No significant injury reports surfaced in the available data. Both teams likely have their key players available for selection.
- The match coincides with Oktoberfest Night at TQL Stadium, boosting home crowd support and atmosphere for FC Cincinnati. No adverse weather or other external conditions reported.
- With FC Cincinnati just two points ahead, both teams are motivated to secure maximum points for playoff positioning. The home advantage and cultural event may provide extra motivation for Cincinnati.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Cincinnati: 163, Nashville SC: 153, Draw: 250 | FC Cincinnati to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | FC Cincinnati +50: -196, Nashville SC -0.5: 145 | FC Cincinnati +0.5 (Asian Handicap) | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -137, Under 2.5: 104 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Cincinnati 10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is expected to be a close contest, with a slight edge to FC Cincinnati due to home advantage and the momentum of recent performances. A narrow home win or draw is most plausible given equal quality and motivation.
Predicted Score: 2-1