Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saputo, Montreal, QC
Game Overview
CF Montreal hosts St. Louis City SC at Stade Saputo in a key MLS matchup. Both teams are competitive, with Montreal leveraging home advantage and recent tactical demands for attacking efficiency. St. Louis City SC travels to Canada aiming to contend strongly on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- CF Montreal has shown solid home form with recent draws and is pushing for more attacking efficiency under manager Critchley. St. Louis City SC has been competitive in away fixtures but faces the challenge of travel and playing in a passionate stadium atmosphere.
- Limited direct historical data available for this fixture; matchups between these teams have been competitive with no overwhelming dominance reported.
- No prominent injuries reported for either side ahead of this fixture, suggesting lineups will be near full strength.
- Playing at Stade Saputo provides CF Montreal strong home support, with fans expected to create a lively atmosphere. Weather or pitch conditions are not noted as concerns.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points late in the MLS season to improve playoff positioning, with Montreal eager to capitalize on home advantage and St. Louis determined to assert their status on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CF Montreal: 131, St. Louis City SC: 177, Draw: 275 | CF Montreal to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | CF Montreal -0.5: 124, St. Louis City SC +50: -167 | CF Montreal to cover -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5: 120, Under 3.5: -161 | Under 3.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | CF Montreal 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: CF Montreal at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match will likely be tightly contested with CF Montreal having a slight edge due to home field advantage and tactical focus on efficiency. Expect a narrow win or draw scenario, with cautious attacking but moments of quality on both ends.
Predicted Score: 2-1