Match Analysis: Ceará vs Flamengo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-03
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Ceará's Home Ground
Game Overview
This Brazil Campeonato match features Ceará hosting Flamengo, two teams with a relatively balanced head-to-head history but with Flamengo showing consistently stronger recent form and marginally better goal production.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flamengo has better recent form with 3 wins and 1 draw in last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goals per game, whereas Ceará has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses with just 0.5 goals per match recently. Flamengo also shows higher goal scoring and better away record.
- In 17 matches at Ceará's venue, Flamengo leads with 6 wins vs Ceará's 4 wins, and 7 draws, indicating a slight advantage for Flamengo historically with 41-24 goal aggregate. Matches tend to be competitive and moderately scoring with average goals around 2.4 per game.
- No explicit recent injuries reported for either team; therefore, squads likely near full strength.
- Match timing favors neither team; no notable external disruptions or fatigue issues noted. Flamengo’s better squad depth may provide advantage in endurance.
- Flamengo is positioned higher in the table, thus has strong motivation to secure points away, while Ceará will be motivated to defend home ground but faces tougher challenge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ceara: 3.2, Flamengo: 1.95, Draw: 2.3 | Flamengo | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Ceara +50: 1.85, Flamengo -0.5: 1.98 | Flamengo -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2: 1.89, Under 2: 1.93 | Under 2 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win (moneyline), Flamengo -0.5 handicap, under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: Flamengo 1 – 0 Ceará