Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Cruzeiro – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-03
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos
Game Overview
Botafogo hosts Cruzeiro in a key Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A fixture. Botafogo has shown resilience with a 5-match unbeaten streak including home successes, while Cruzeiro remains defensively solid and unbeaten in their last 13 meetings versus Botafogo, making this a tightly contested matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Botafogo averages 0.93 goals per match at home with a strong recent unbeaten run; Cruzeiro averages 1.07 goals per match away and have not lost a direct encounter to Botafogo in the last 13 meetings.
- In 40 historical matches, Cruzeiro leads with 16 wins vs. Botafogo's 11; 13 draws recorded. Over 60% of matches have both teams scoring (BTTS). Average goals per match between them is 2.48.
- No significant injury updates currently available for either side.
- Match played at Botafogo's home ground, Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos, which favors the home side; no adverse weather or scheduling concerns noted.
- Botafogo looks motivated to continue strong home form as a top scorer ‘Kaio Jorge’ from Cruzeiro challenges them, while Cruzeiro aims to maintain dominance in this fixture to fight for league positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo: 115, Draw: 225, Cruzeiro: 265 | Botafogo | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Botafogo -0.25: -120, Cruzeiro +25: 100 | Botafogo -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo 18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Botafogo to win on the moneyline, cover -0.25 spread, and match to go under 2 goals total.
Predicted Score: 1-0