Match Analysis: Sarek Shields vs Nick Meck – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-01
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: PFL World Tournament 8
Game Overview
Welterweight bout between Sarek Shields and Nick Meck at PFL World Tournament 8. Both fighters are coming off wins in recent PFL events, with Shields holding a 7-2 career record and Meck showing strong form in 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sarek Shields holds a 7-2 professional MMA record with a balanced finishing ability: 50% decisions and 50% submissions, indicating versatility. Nick Meck has shown consistent wins in 2025 tournaments, winning in the semifinals on June 11 and demonstrating good momentum.
- No clear direct previous encounter records are available, but both fighters have met recently within the tournament circuit, increasing familiarity. Shields appears slightly favored based on stylistic matchups and previous results.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full health.
- Fight taking place in a high-stakes PFL semifinal environment which may elevate competitive intensity. Both fighters motivated by tournament progression and prize incentives.
- Both fighters highly motivated; Shields seeking to capitalize on home crowd advantage and momentum from recent submission wins; Meck motivated by recent victories and aim to solidify place in the tournament finals.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sarek Shields -141, Nick Meck +121 | Sarek Shields | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Spread (-1.5 Sarek Shields) approx -150, (+1.5 Nick Meck) approx +130 | Sarek Shields -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -170, Under 2.5 rounds +140 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sarek Shields 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 39% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sarek Shields to win via decision
Predicted Score: Sarek Shields wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds