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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders enter this match as strong favorites against the St George Illawarra Dragons, playing at home after a run of dominant performances, while the Dragons are struggling with injuries and inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders are on a six-game winning streak at home, averaging 32 points per game. The Dragons have had recent struggles with form and injuries, returning to winning only recently and facing a tougher lineup disruption.
  • Raiders have won the last four encounters against the Dragons and are unbeaten at Canberra since 2015, demonstrating clear dominance in recent meetings.
  • St George Illawarra is impacted by multiple injuries and Origin call-ups, notably missing key players like Valentine Holmes and Nathan Lawson. Canberra has some lineup changes but retains a settled spine and welcomes back Hudson Young.
  • Playing at home in front of a supportive crowd enhances Canberra's advantage. Weather or other conditions not noted as significant.
  • Raiders aim to consolidate their top-of-the-table position and extend their winning streak, while Dragons are motivated to break their losing streak but face a challenging environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -218, St George Illawarra Dragons 185, Draw 2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Canberra Raiders -6.5 (-115), St George Illawarra Dragons +6.5 (-115) Canberra Raiders -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-105), Under 46.5 (-125) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Canberra’s strong form, home advantage, head-to-head dominance, and the Dragons’ injury setbacks, the Raiders are favored to win comfortably and cover a moderate spread.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 14


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction

Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-02 Time: 7:30 AM UTC Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra Game Overview The Canberra Raiders enter this match as strong favorites against the St George Illawarra Dragons, playing at home after a run of dominant performances, while the Dragons are struggling with […]

August 2, 2025 Canberra Raiders Rugbyleague St George Illawarra Dragons

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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland, Manly

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the Sydney Roosters in a critical NRL Round 22 clash, with both teams pushing for finals positioning late in the season. Manly enters with home advantage and favorable recent form against the Roosters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have shown consistent and strong form this season, with a 59% win probability in simulations against the Roosters and a slight edge in scoring ability. The Roosters have been competitive but less consistent lately.
  • Recent head-to-head data and simulations indicate Manly edges the Roosters with a 59% win probability. The Sea Eagles have also demonstrated the ability to cover a -2.5 spread, reflecting close but controlled victories.
  • No significant injury news indicating absence of key players on either side, maintaining full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Lottoland offers Manly home ground advantage. The weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for the season, not favoring either team significantly.
  • Manly is highly motivated to consolidate their finals spot, while Roosters are fighting hard to remain relevant, but slightly less consistent form suggests lower motivation effectiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -134, away: 115, draw: 2100 Home ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -110, away: -120, spread_points: 2.5 Home -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 110, under: -145, total_points: 48.5 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 1220%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 1220% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total points to stay under 48.5.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – Sydney Roosters 18


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers enter this Round 22 clash as clear favorites with strong recent form, whereas the Gold Coast Titans struggle near the bottom of the ladder despite a recent morale-boosting win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panthers have a 7-game winning streak and sit 5th on the ladder with a 10-7 record, showing strong defense and consistent winning form. Titans are 16th with 5-13, having won only 1 of their last 5 games.
  • In the last 10 matchups, the Panthers dominate with a 9-1 record against the Titans, reinforcing historical superiority.
  • No critical injury updates reported for either side, so full-strength lineups are expected.
  • Match played at Titans' home ground, but their home form is weak (2-6), while Panthers have a decent away record (4-3). Weather and other external factors appear neutral.
  • Panthers are pushing for a top-4 finals spot, adding motivation. Titans are fighting form and position but with low morale overall.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 3.25, away: 1.23, draw: 25 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread home +12.5: 1.87, away -12.5: 1.87 Penrith Panthers -12.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over 46.5: 1.87, under 46.5: 1.87 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Penrith Panthers will win comfortably, covering the spread and with the total match points expected to stay under 46.5 given the defensive strength and form.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – 14 Gold Coast Titans


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Brisbane Broncos vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos enter as significant favorites hosting the South Sydney Rabbitohs, who have struggled on the road. Brisbane showcases superior recent form, a stronger attack and defense, and benefits from strong home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane is in peak form, ranked 5th in power rankings versus South Sydney's 17th, with an attack advantage of 8.7 points per game and very solid defensive metrics. The Rabbitohs have continued to struggle away from home.
  • Historical data favors Brisbane strongly: out of 50 matches, Broncos won 33, including 19 at home. At Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane won 14 of 21 meetings against South Sydney with a 487–436 points edge.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side that would significantly change team strength; Broncos maintain a near full-strength squad boosting their dominance.
  • The hostile atmosphere at Suncorp Stadium and Friday night timing favors Brisbane, who historically thrive in this environment. South Sydney travel fatigue and poor away record create a challenging scenario for them.
  • Brisbane is motivated to secure a commanding win to consolidate playoff positioning, while South Sydney faces pressure to break a poor away streak and salvage confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -675, South Sydney Rabbitohs +460, Draw +2800 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -16.5 (-110), South Sydney Rabbitohs +16.5 (-120) Brisbane Broncos -16.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-115), Under 49.5 (-115) Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos will win outright with a strong defensive performance keeping the total score under 49.5 points.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors host the Dolphins in a crucial NRL Round 22 clash where the Dolphins are slight favorites based on predictive analytics despite the Warriors holding home ground advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have demonstrated superior recent form with several high-scoring wins, including 43-24 over Cowboys and 50-28 over Rabbitohs, while the Warriors have mixed results recently including a loss to Titans and narrow wins in some matches.
  • Limited history between the teams with no clear dominance; previous meetings have been close contests with recent matches evenly split.
  • No specific major injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team in the available data, suggesting key players should be available for both sides.
  • Playing at Go Media Stadium benefits the Warriors due to strong home support, but Dolphins have shown resilience on the road and in challenging environments.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure finals positions; Warriors aiming to maintain a higher ladder position, Dolphins pushing hard to climb into the Top 8.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -138, Warriors: 120, Draw: 2000 Dolphins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dolphins -1.5: -135, Warriors +1.5: 105 Dolphins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dolphins at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

For moneyline, bet on Dolphins to win given better form and statistical edge. For spread, Dolphins -1.5 is favored due to momentum and more reliable attack. For total points, expect over 45.5 as both teams possess firepower and history of high scoring.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 26 – Warriors 20


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Parramatta Eels vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-31
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

Melbourne Storm enter as heavy favorites against Parramatta Eels in this Round 22 NRL clash, with superior form, defense, and road performance giving them the edge. Parramatta's inconsistency at home and Melbourne's championship momentum are key elements.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm rank #1 in power rankings with dominant recent form and are averaging a 12.9 point advantage per game over Parramatta, who rank 14th and have struggled for consistent home form.
  • Recent head-to-head results strongly favor Melbourne Storm, who typically control the match tempo and defensive battles against the Eels.
  • No critically impactful injuries reported for either side affecting primary starters, maintaining Melbourne's strong lineup.
  • Match played at Parramatta's home ground, which has been a weak fortress this season, limiting effective home advantage; weather and other external conditions are neutral.
  • Melbourne Storm are motivated to maintain top premiership momentum going into September finals push; Parramatta seek upset but motivation is offset by form gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -345, Parramatta Eels: +245 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Melbourne Storm -10.5: -115, Parramatta Eels +10.5: -115 Melbourne Storm -10.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115 Under 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win comfortably, covering the -10.5 spread, with total points likely under the 48.5 line due to Storm's defensive control and moderate scoring pace.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Parramatta Eels 12


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in a pivotal NRL Round 21 clash. The Bulldogs are slight favorites given their recent form and head-to-head dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have demonstrated stronger recent form and are projected with a 66% win probability by advanced simulations. Manly has struggled against them historically this season.
  • Canterbury leads the season series with 3 wins to Manly's 1. The Bulldogs won close encounters recently, showing competitive edge at home.
  • No significant injury reports currently affecting key players for either side, suggesting both teams at near full strength.
  • Playing at Stadium Australia favors Canterbury due to familiar conditions and crowd support; no notable weather issues expected.
  • Canterbury needs a win to consolidate playoff positioning, boosting motivation; Manly is fighting for points but has less favorable outlook given recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -162, Manly Sea Eagles: 143, Draw: 2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -4.5: -105, Manly Sea Eagles +4.5: -125 Canterbury Bulldogs -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 43.5: -115, Under 43.5: -115 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win outright

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 24 – 18 Manly Sea Eagles


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Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Newcastle Knights in NRL Round 21 at GIO Stadium. The Raiders, strong favourites, aim to solidify their position towards the minor premiership with recent strong form. The Knights, underdogs, face a challenging away fixture and must cover a significant spread for value.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders exhibit significantly stronger recent form and overall season performance compared to the Knights, with machine learning models giving them an 81% win probability. The Knights have struggled in away fixtures and faced defensive challenges.
  • Historical matchups show Raiders dominance over Knights, especially at home ground GIO Stadium. Recent fixtures trend heavily towards Canberra winning comfortably.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key Raiders players; Knights have minor fitness concerns but no confirmed missing starters, slightly reducing their competitiveness.
  • Playing at home with strong crowd support benefits Canberra. Weather conditions expected favorable and should not impact game flow or scoring significantly.
  • Raiders motivated to maintain winning streak and improve ladder position with potential finals implications. Knights are motivated but less so given form and away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -480, Newcastle Knights +375, Draw +2800 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Canberra Raiders -14.5 -110, Newcastle Knights +14.5 -120 Canberra Raiders -14.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over 44.5 -115, Under 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright, cover the -14.5 spread, and the total points to go over 44.5

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 30 – Newcastle Knights 14


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The Rabbitohs, mired in a seven-game losing streak and struggling with injuries and defensive frailties, host the Sharks, who are pushing for a top-four finish and have rediscovered form with Nicho Hynes leading their charge. The neutral venue removes any home ground advantage, but Cronulla’s superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive solidity make them heavy favorites despite South Sydney’s desperation[1][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla’s attack is averaging almost 6 points more per game and their defense is significantly better, while South Sydney’s season has been derailed by injuries, especially in key spine positions, and defensive lapses[1][3].
  • Cronulla has dominated recent meetings and comes in with a stronger head-to-head record, both in terms of results and statistical matchups[1][3].
  • South Sydney’s roster has been ravaged by injuries, notably in their spine, which has compounded their on-field struggles[3].
  • Neutral venue (Gosford) and weather is not reported as a major factor; travel is not expected to impact either team significantly[1][3].
  • Cronulla is chasing a top-four finish and has clear motivation, while South Sydney is fighting for pride but lacks tangible upside in the standings[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla -435, Souths +350, Draw +2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Cronulla -12.5 (-110), Souths +12.5 (-120) South Sydney Rabbitohs +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-125), Under 47.5 (-105) Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are expected to win by a double-digit margin, but not in a blowout. Expect a lower-scoring, grinding game with Cronulla’s defense stifling South Sydney’s attack[1][3].

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 20 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 10


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Penrith Panthers vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers enter as strong favorites against Wests Tigers, with bookmakers heavily pricing a Panthers win. However, statistical models and recent form suggest a closer contest with a likely low scoring, defensive game given wet conditions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panthers exhibit strong home performance with structured, clinical play, but Tigers have shown improving form and possess attacking unpredictability. Panthers average a slight edge in attack and defense but the margin is narrower than expected.
  • Panthers have dominated recent meetings, yet the Tigers remain competitive with power rankings close (Panthers 8.83 vs Tigers 10.67) and Tigers capable of challenging defensively.
  • No significant injury news reported that materially impacts either team's core lineup.
  • Match played at CommBank Stadium, a familiar venue to Panthers who treat it as a second home; weather conditions expected wet, favoring a defensive style and potentially lowering scoring.
  • Panthers aim to maintain premiership form while Tigers are motivated to upset a top-tier team and continue demonstrating improvement against strong opponents.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith -420, Wests Tigers 335, Draw 2500 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Penrith -13.5 (-120), Wests Tigers +13.5 (-110) Penrith Panthers -13.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-125), Under 46.5 (-105) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win outright, cover the -13.5 spread, and the match to total under 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Wests Tigers 18


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