Match Analysis: San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-30
- Time: 7:46 PM UTC
- Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, California
Game Overview
The San Francisco Giants face the Pittsburgh Pirates in the third game of their series at Oracle Park. The Giants, with a .500 season record, struggle with recent form as they are 2-10 in their last 12 games while the Pirates lead the series 2-0. Both teams are mid-to-lower tier in standings, but the Giants have home advantage and a solid starting pitcher in Logan Webb.
Key Factors to Consider
- Giants have a 54-54 record with recent poor form (2-10 in last 12); Pirates 45-62 but on a winning streak with two victories over Giants this series.
- Teams are historically even with 63 wins each; Giants hold a strong home record against Pirates with 45 wins; Pirates have recent series lead 2-0; average runs/game: Giants 4.09, Pirates slightly higher at 4.55.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting lineups or pitching rotations for either side.
- Game played at Oracle Park with typical pitcher-friendly conditions; day game impact slightly favors Giants as Pirates have 19-26 record in day games.
- Giants motivated to stop losing streak at home; Pirates fueled by series lead seeking sweep and to extend momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Giants -210, Pirates +176 | San Francisco Giants | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Giants -1.5 at +100, Pirates +1.5 at -120 | San Francisco Giants -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 at +100, Under 7.5 at -122 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Francisco Giants -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Giants win on the moneyline; Giants cover the -1.5 run spread; total runs under 7.5
Predicted Score: San Francisco Giants 4 – 2 Pittsburgh Pirates