Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-11
- Time: 1:41 AM UTC
- Location: Seattle Mariners home field
Game Overview
Seattle Mariners and St. Louis Cardinals face each other after Mariners secured a 5-3 victory on September 9, 2025. Mariners are currently strong in their division race and coming off a performance led by Randy Arozarena's four RBIs including a crucial three-run homer. The Cardinals showed competitive offense but fell short again.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mariners have momentum, winning the last matchup 5-3 with strong offensive contributions and solid pitching performance limiting Cardinals to 3 runs. Mariners are close to leading the AL West. The Cardinals have had good individual moments but have been less consistent, especially away from home.
- In their recent meeting on September 9, Mariners defeated Cardinals 5-3, covering the spread by winning with at least a 2-run margin, demonstrating a slight dominance in this short-term matchup.
- No current injury reports available from the data but Mariners likely fielding near full strength given recent performance; Cardinals injury status unknown but no major absences reported in recent games.
- Game played at Marinersβ home venue favors the Mariners due to home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions were not mentioned, assumed neutral.
- Mariners are highly motivated to close their gap in the AL West, coming off a big win and looking to maintain momentum. Cardinals likely motivated to respond after back-to-back losses to Mariners and try to regain ground in their league.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle Mariners: -225, St. Louis Cardinals: 188 | Seattle Mariners win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Seattle Mariners: -1.5 -104, St. Louis Cardinals: 1.5 -115 | Seattle Mariners to cover -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 7.5 -102, Under: 7.5 -120 | Over 7.5 total runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle Mariners -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 7.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners are favored to win again based on recent form, home advantage, and bookmakers odds. Expect a moderately close game but Mariners with a clear edge.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 6 – 4 St. Louis Cardinals