Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-31
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: TD Place Stadium
Game Overview
The Calgary Stampeders enter as clear favorites given their strong 5-2 record against Ottawa Redblacks' struggling 1-6. Calgary’s offense ranks high in road passing and rushing, while Ottawa's scoring and defense are weaker overall. The Stampeders’ ability to control possession and defend first-half leads is notable.
Key Factors to Consider
- Calgary boasts top-3 rankings in road passing (320 yds) and rushing (117 yds) with solid defense, whereas Ottawa ranks near bottom offensively and defensively, with only 21.14 points scored per game and 19.14 points allowed per game.
- Recent H2H trends favor Calgary, who have covered spreads previously and controlled games with effective clock management. Ottawa has struggled to score consistently, especially in the first half.
- No specific injury information available, but lack of key injuries to Calgary contributes to their offensive reliability; Ottawa's lineup status less certain, but form suggests weaknesses remain.
- Game venue at Ottawa’s TD Place Stadium for home team advantage, but Calgary’s road performance remains superior. No weather or other external disruptions noted.
- Calgary at 5-2 show strong playoff motivation; Ottawa at 1-6 struggling with morale and performance, lowering competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Calgary -196, Ottawa +162 | Calgary Stampeders | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Calgary -4.5 (-105), Ottawa +4.5 (-115) | Calgary -4.5 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Over/under | Over 52.5 (-110), Under 52.5 (-110) | Under 52.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 52.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Calgary Stampeders to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the game to go under 52.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 18