Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Campbell Fighting Camels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 10:05 PM UTC
- Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, North Carolina
Game Overview
East Carolina Pirates and Campbell Fighting Camels meet in an early-season NCAAF matchup. East Carolina hosts at home after a narrow season-opening loss, while Campbell enters also 0-1. East Carolina is a significant favorite, reflecting the historical dominance and recent performance trends.
Key Factors to Consider
- East Carolina opened 2025 with a close loss versus NC State (24-17), showing competitive play despite the defeat. Campbell also started 0-1 in the CAA conference. Historical data shows East Carolina won the last meeting decisively (49-10 in 2022) and hold a winning record against Campbell overall (3-2 advantage to Campbell historically but recent dominance by East Carolina). East Carolina's recent 5-game record is 3-2, and 10-game 6-4, indicating moderate success under coach Blake Harrell.
- The series is close with Campbell leading 3-2 overall since 1933, but East Carolina dominated recent encounters, including a 49-10 victory last season at home.
- No specific current injuries reported for either team related to this matchup in the available data.
- The game is designated as Pirate Club Day, Band Day, and Ag Day, maximizing home crowd motivation and atmosphere. The venue is familiar and the home crowd likely a strong boost for East Carolina.
- East Carolina aims to secure its first home win after an opening loss, motivated further by favorable odds and home field advantage. Campbell seeks to bounce back on the road against a historically challenging opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Campbell Fighting Camels: 2400, East Carolina Pirates: -10000 | East Carolina Pirates to win | โ โ โ โ โ 95% |
| Spread | Campbell Fighting Camels: -29.5 -110, East Carolina Pirates: 29.5 -110 | East Carolina Pirates to cover -29.5 point spread | โ โ โ โ โ 90% |
| Over/under | over: 52.5 -110, under: 52.5 -110 | Under 52.5 points total | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Carolina Pirates -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 52.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
East Carolina is heavily favored to win given superior team quality, home field advantage, and historical dominance. The probable outcome is a comfortable East Carolina victory by a sizable margin.
Predicted Score: East Carolina Pirates 38 – Campbell Fighting Camels 10