Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 7:35 PM UTC
- Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York
Game Overview
The Buffalo Bulls and Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash meet for their first ever matchup in college football. Both teams enter the game with 0-1 records, coming off losses in their season openers. Buffalo, an FBS program from the MAC, is a heavy favorite playing at home against the FCS Saint Francis team. The Bulls are led by QB Ta'Quan Roberson, while Saint Francis seeks to build on a program history that includes a signature upset of Kent State last season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Buffalo showed moderate competitiveness in their season opener, losing to Minnesota 23-10 but demonstrating offensive capability. Saint Francis is adjusting after a tough 29-0 loss to UL-Monroe, showing offensive struggles against FBS competition. Buffalo's stronger offensive and defensive stats position them well.
- This is the first meeting between Buffalo Bulls and Saint Francis Red Flash. Saint Francis is 1-4 historically against MAC teams but earned a notable 23-17 win over Kent State in 2024.
- No major injury reports available for either team ahead of kickoff, suggesting both teams are at near full strength.
- The game is held at Buffaloโs home stadium, offering the Bulls a strong home-field advantage and familiar environment. Weather conditions and travel fatigue appear minimal.
- Buffalo seeks to bounce back from an opening loss and validate its FBS status against an FCS opponent. Saint Francis is motivated to gain momentum and earn a rare FBS victory, which would be a historic achievement for the program.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Bulls: -110, Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash: +850 | Buffalo Bulls to win | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Buffalo Bulls: -36.5 -115, Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash: +36.5 -105 | Buffalo Bulls to cover -36.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 50.5 -110, Under: 50.5 -110 | Over 50.5 points | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 50.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Buffalo is heavily favored to win comfortably at home due to superior roster depth, home advantage, and recent performance. The prediction is that Buffalo will win and cover the spread (-36.5), with the game going over the total points line (50.5).
Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 45 – Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash 14