Match Analysis: Bahia vs Juventude – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-27
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil
Game Overview
Bahia, currently 6th in the Brazil Campeonato standings, hosts Juventude, who sit 18th, at Arena Fonte Nova. Bahia have home advantage and better recent form. Juventude struggle to score and concede frequently, making Bahia strong favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bahia has shown consistent form, climbing to 6th place with solid wins at home. Juventude ranks low in 18th with poor away results and multiple losses in recent matches.
- In their recent two meetings last season, Bahia won both encounters, showcasing clear dominance over Juventude.
- No major injuries reported for either side affecting key starters, implying both teams near full strength.
- Match played at Bahia's home ground Arena Fonte Nova, giving them support and familiar conditions. No weather or travel issues expected.
- Bahia motivated to consolidate their top 6 position for potential continental qualification, while Juventude fight to avoid relegation but with low confidence coming off poor form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bahia -290, Draw +400, Juventude +750 | Bahia | ★★★★☆ 82% |
Spread | Bahia -1.25 -125, Juventude +1.25 +105 | Bahia -1.25 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -122, Under 2.5 +102 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bahia -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bahia to win moneyline, cover the -1.25 spread, and the match to end under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-0