Match Analysis: Yuni Takada vs Ryusei Matsumoto – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan

Game Overview

This is a 12-round Miniflyweight boxing match between Yuni Takada and Ryusei Matsumoto held at IG Arena, Nagoya. Both fighters are 27 years old Japanese nationals with close physical stats, competing under Ohashi Promotions and Matchroom Boxing. Matsumoto is the strong favorite with a very dominant recent record and knockout rate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Matsumoto has a 16-6-3 record, with a 38% KO rate and 50% losses by KO; Takada holds a 6-0-0 undefeated record with a 67% KO rate but has fewer career rounds and less top-level experience. Matsumoto's fights tend to be shorter and more varied in rounds, while Takada averages longer fights.
• This is their first recorded matchup, so no direct H2H data is available.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
• Fight is at a neutral venue in Japan, no evident home advantage. Both fighters are motivated due to the stakes and their career trajectories in the minimumweight division.
• Takada is seeking to uphold an undefeated record which could add pressure but also drive; Matsumoto, with more experience and favorites' status, shows motivation to assert dominance and maintain position in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +483, away: -800	Ryusei Matsumoto	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5: -150, Yuni Takada +3.5: +130	Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over 7.5: -140, under 7.5: +109	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ryusei Matsumoto -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 7.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryusei Matsumoto to win by decision

Predicted Score: Ryusei Matsumoto wins by unanimous decision after 12 rounds

Match Analysis: Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: Aichi International Arena, Nagoya, Japan

Game Overview

Naoya Inoue, the undisputed super bantamweight champion with a perfect 30-0 record and 90% KO rate, faces Murodjon Akhmadaliev, a strong challenger with a 14-1 record and 79% KO rate. The fight holds four major belts and is highly anticipated in the super bantamweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Inoue remains undefeated in 30 fights, having stopped his last 10 opponents via TKO/KO, showing dominance and high finishing ability. Akhmadaliev, after one career loss in 2023, has won his last three fights convincingly.
• This is their first professional meeting; therefore, no direct H2H data exists.
• No reported injuries for either boxer leading into the fight; both preparing at full strength.
• The fight is held in Nagoya, Japan, Inoue’s home country, providing a potential home advantage. The bout garners significant public and promoter attention with no broadcast rights announced yet, possibly increasing fighters' motivation.
• Inoue aims to maintain his undefeated legacy and undisputed status. Akhmadaliev seeks redemption after his only recent loss and to claim multiple world titles, significantly motivating him.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Naoya Inoue: -1000, Murodjon Akhmadaliev: 600	Naoya Inoue	★★★★☆ 89%
Spread	Naoya Inoue -3.5 rounds: -350, Murodjon Akhmadaliev +3.5 rounds: 280	Naoya Inoue -3.5 rounds (win by stoppage before round 4)	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -130, Under 8.5 rounds: 100	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Naoya Inoue -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Naoya Inoue wins by TKO/KO

Predicted Score: Naoya Inoue wins by TKO in round 7

Match Analysis: Yoshiki Takei vs Christian Medina Jimenez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 8:00 AM UTC
• Location: IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan

Game Overview

WBO bantamweight championship bout between favored Yoshiki Takei and underdog Christian Medina Jimenez, scheduled for 12 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Yoshiki Takei has demonstrated dominant recent form at bantamweight with strong finishes and consistent wins. Christian Medina Jimenez has solid regional success but struggles at elite level and is a significant underdog.
• No known previous head-to-head matchups between Takei and Jimenez, so no direct outcomes to consider.
• No reported injuries or physical concerns affecting either fighter at this time.
• The fight is held in Nagoya, Japan, which is home country for Takei, offering him crowd support and no travel fatigue. Jimenez is the visitor and may face usual external challenges.
• Takei is motivated to defend his WBO bantamweight world title and maintain his dominance. Jimenez seeks a breakthrough upset but motivation less supported by recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -550, away: +375	Yoshiki Takei	★★★★☆ 83%
Spread	home: -1.5 (-400), away: +1.5 (+300)	Yoshiki Takei -1.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over_10.5: -190, under_10.5: +160	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Yoshiki Takei -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 69%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 69% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yoshiki Takei to win by decision

Predicted Score: Takei wins by unanimous decision, fight going just under 11 rounds

Match Analysis: Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, United States

Game Overview

Canelo Álvarez defends his undisputed super middleweight titles against Terence Crawford, who moves up two weight divisions for the fight. Both are elite pound-for-pound fighters, making this a high-profile matchup for legacy and championship unification.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canelo holds a record of 63-2-2 with 39 KOs, showing consistent elite performance at super middleweight. Crawford is undefeated at 41-0 with 31 KOs but has limited experience at super middleweight, with most of his career at lighter weights.
• This is their first and only matchup, so there is no direct head-to-head data available.
• No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout, both appear in prime condition to compete at their best.
• The fight takes place at a neutral high-profile venue, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, enhancing motivation. Both fighters aim to cement their legacies, increasing motivation. Crawford faces challenges moving up two weight classes.
• Extremely high for both fighters as this bout determines undisputed super middleweight supremacy and cements legacy; Crawford aims to make history across three weight classes, Canelo seeks to defend and maintain supremacy.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Canelo Álvarez -182, Terence Crawford +159	Canelo Álvarez	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Canelo Álvarez -1.5 rounds -110	Canelo Álvarez by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 10.5 -385, Under 10.5 +306	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canelo Álvarez -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 164%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 164% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canelo Álvarez moneyline win

Predicted Score: Canelo Álvarez by 11th round TKO

Match Analysis: Callum Walsh vs Fernando Vargas Jr – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: Las Vegas

Game Overview

Callum Walsh, a highly ranked undefeated contender with a 14-0 record and 11 KOs, faces Fernando Vargas Jr, also undefeated at 17-0 with 15 KOs but unranked, in a key undercard bout for the Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Walsh is ranked in multiple sanctioning bodies (IBF, WBC, WBO) and has maintained consistent form with solid knockout power, while Vargas Jr boasts a higher KO ratio but lacks official rankings and top-level exposure.
• They have no previous head to head fights, making their styles and adaptability inside the ring crucial to the outcome.
• No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter going into the bout.
• The fight takes place on a major pay-per-view undercard which increases motivation, particularly for Vargas Jr who aims to upset the favorite and gain recognition beyond being an underdog.
• Vargas Jr is highly motivated to prove himself and avoid leaving the outcome to the judges, declaring the need for a stoppage; Walsh carries the pressure of being the favorite and ranked fighter to maintain his undefeated status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Callum Walsh: -330, Fernando Vargas Jr: 240	Callum Walsh	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Callum Walsh -2.5 rounds: -110, Fernando Vargas Jr +2.5 rounds: -110	Callum Walsh -2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -190, Under 8.5 rounds: 160	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Callum Walsh -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 51%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 51% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Callum Walsh with a high probability based on rankings, experience, and bookmaker valuation. Expect a competitive fight with moderate likelihood of going over 8.5 rounds given both fighters' power and stamina.

Predicted Score: Callum Walsh wins by decision or late stoppage around round 9

Match Analysis: Christian Mbilli vs Lester Martinez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas

Game Overview

An undefeated showdown between Christian Mbilli (29-0, 24 KOs), the more experienced and top-ranked super middleweight, and Lester Martinez (19-0, 16 KOs), a powerful knockout artist with a height advantage. Both are orthodox fighters with high knockout percentages and undefeated records, battling for position among elite contenders on a major undercard.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mbilli is the more experienced fighter, having fought 59 more rounds and maintaining an aggressive, high-volume style. Martinez compensates with slightly higher power (84% KO rate) and youth, but with fewer professional rounds and fights.
• No previous head-to-head matchups; both have spotless undefeated records, making this their first direct comparison in the ring.
• No reported injuries for either fighter, both entering in full health.
• The fight is on the high-profile Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford undercard at Allegiant Stadium, adding motivation via exposure and potential career advancement.
• High stakes with future title contention and prestige on the line motivate both fighters intensely; Mbilli's established status and Martinez's rising trajectory create a clash of experience vs. power and potential.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Christian Mbilli: -180, Lester Martinez: 150	Christian Mbilli	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Mbilli -1.5 rounds: -125, Martinez +1.5 rounds: 105	Mbilli -1.5 rounds (win inside 9 rounds)	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 10.5 rounds: -130, Under 10.5 rounds: 100	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christian Mbilli -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Mbilli to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Mbilli wins by KO in round 8

Match Analysis: Mohammed Alakel vs Travis Kent Crawford – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: To Be Confirmed

Game Overview

Lightweight bout featuring rising prospect Mohammed Alakel against experienced contender Travis Kent Crawford, scheduled as a preliminary fight on the undercard of a major boxing event featuring Canelo Alvarez and Terence Crawford.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mohammed Alakel is an undefeated rising prospect demonstrating strong recent form and momentum. Travis Kent Crawford is an experienced boxer with solid career results but less hype compared to Alakel at this stage.
• No recorded previous head-to-head bouts between Mohammed Alakel and Travis Kent Crawford.
• No reported injuries to either fighter leading up to the fight.
• The fight is situated on a high-profile card with substantial media exposure, which should motivate both fighters. No adverse external factors such as travel or altitude issues reported.
• Alakel appears highly motivated to continue his undefeated streak and make a statement on a major card. Crawford is motivated to upset the prospect and gain recognition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mohammed_Alakel: -1800, Travis_Kent_Crawford: +900	Mohammed Alakel	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Mohammed_Alakel-1.5: -300, Travis_Kent_Crawford+1.5: +240	Mohammed Alakel -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over_7.5_rounds: +110, under_7.5_rounds: -140	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mohammed Alakel -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohammed Alakel at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mohammed Alakel to win by Moneyline

Predicted Score: Mohammed Alakel wins by knockout in round 6

Match Analysis: Serhii Bohachuk vs Brandon Adams – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This is a rematch between Serhii Bohachuk and Brandon Adams in a 10-round super welterweight boxing contest. Bohachuk is a strong favorite with a high knockout rate and recent unanimous decision wins, while Adams is an underdog and coming off a split decision loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bohachuk holds a record of 26-2 with 24 KOs (92% KO rate); Adams is 25-4 with 16 KOs (64%). Bohachuk has recently beaten solid opponents by decision and showed growth since their first meeting in 2021 where Adams stopped him despite Bohachuk dominating.
• They fought first in 2021, Adams won by stoppage in 8th round despite Bohachuk leading on scorecards. For the rematch, Bohachuk is expected to adjust and avoid mistakes that led to the first loss.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter before this bout.
• The fight will take place at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, giving a neutral venue but with some home crowd advantage to the more popular Bohachuk. The fight is on a high-profile card, increasing motivation.
• Bohachuk is highly motivated to avenge his first loss and reclaim status after a controversial defeat, while Adams has been slowed by inactivity and lacks the same momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -500, away: +350	Serhii Bohachuk	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Bohachuk -2.5: -150, Adams +2.5: +130	Bohachuk -2.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	over: -155, under: +125	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Serhii Bohachuk -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Serhii Bohachuk to win by unanimous decision

Predicted Score: Serhii Bohachuk wins by unanimous decision, 97-92 on average scorecards

Match Analysis: Ivan Dychko vs Jermaine Franklin Jr – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: TBD

Game Overview

Ivan Dychko, an undefeated heavyweight with a strong KO record and significant height and reach advantages, faces Jermaine Franklin Jr., an experienced contender motivated to advance his career with a high-stakes bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dychko boasts a 14-0 record with 13 KOs showcasing power and speed, while Franklin Jr. has solid experience but less demonstrated stopping power. Recent form favors Dychko's unbeaten momentum and sharpness.
• No previous head-to-head bouts between Dychko and Franklin Jr. exist, making this a fresh matchup relying on style and physical attributes advantages.
• No current injuries reported for either fighter, both are expected to compete at full strength.
• The fight carries career implications; Dychko looks to maintain undefeated status and gain global recognition, while Franklin Jr. aims to boost his profile and contend for a heavyweight title.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, but Dychko's undefeated status and power advantage suggest stronger incentive to assert dominance and maintain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ivan Dychko: -140, Jermaine Franklin Jr: +109	Ivan Dychko	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Ivan Dychko -1.5 rounds: -130, Jermaine Franklin Jr +1.5 rounds: +110	Ivan Dychko -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -160, Under 8.5 rounds: +124	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ivan Dychko -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ivan Dychko to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Ivan Dychko wins by KO in round 7