Match Analysis: San Diego FC vs Nashville SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Game Overview
The matchup between San Diego FC and Nashville SC features two strong MLS teams battling for progression in the playoffs. San Diego FC plays at home with a slightly better recent form and overall statistics, while Nashville SC boasts excellent away results and defensive resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego FC holds a 50% win rate in their last 6 MLS matches and averages 1.79 points per game, scoring 47 with a goal differential of +15. Nashville SC has been undefeated in 14 of their last 15 MLS games, showing strong road form with 4 wins in their last 6 away matches, and a solid defensive record allowing just 1.12 goals per game.
- Recent H2H data indicates a closely matched contest with no clear dominance; both teams have competitive records, and past outcomes have been tight with limited goal margins.
- No significant injuries reported for either squad impacting key players or starting lineups, enabling both teams to field their best units.
- Match played at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego gives home advantage to San Diego FC. Weather conditions and travel logistics favor the home side slightly. Stakes are high, with both teams motivated to advance in the MLS playoff phase.
- Both teams are highly motivated to secure a playoff spot, but Nashville SCβs recent undefeated run and good away form suggest a strong desire to continue their momentum on the road, while San Diego aims to leverage home support and their strong offensive capabilities.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego FC: 127, Nashville SC: 186, Draw: 270 | Nashville SC | β β β ββ 64% |
Spread | San Diego FC -0.5: 121, Nashville SC +50: -161 | San Diego FC +0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -156, Under 2.5: 116 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nashville SC 34% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Nashville SC at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nashville SC to win on the moneyline, San Diego FC +0.5 on the spread, and under 2.5 goals for total goals scored.
Predicted Score: 1-1