Match Analysis: Ceará vs Mirassol – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-23
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ceará home stadium
Game Overview
This Brazil Campeonato match features Ceará hosting Mirassol, two clubs with a competitive recent history and an average of 3 goals per H2H match. Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring games, with Mirassol slightly stronger on away form and Ceará having home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ceará scores on average 1.41 goals per game with a home tendency towards under 2.5 goals in most matches. Mirassol averages 1.62 goals per game and tends towards higher scoring especially away.
- In 4 recent encounters, Mirassol leads with 2 wins, Ceará has 1 win, and 1 draw, with both teams combining for roughly 3 goals per game on average.
- No significant injury reports affecting key players for either side currently available.
- Standard conditions with no major disruptions noted, and balanced possession statistics in recent matchups.
- Both teams are motivated for a strong showing; Mirassol sitting 3rd and Ceará 5th implies they are competing closely for table positioning, increasing competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ceará: 1.15, Mirassol: 2.65, Draw: 2.25 | Ceará | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Ceará -0.25: -120, Mirassol +25: 100 | Ceará -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2: -120, Under 2: 100 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ceará 29% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ceará at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline favoring Ceará to win with slight spread advantage; expect a competitive, moderate goal total game under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0